Long term strategy for electricity generation in Peninsular Malaysia – Analysis of cost and carbon footprint using MESSAGE

Fairuz, Shadreen; Sulaiman, Muhammad Azwadi; Haw, Lim Chin; Mat, Sohif; Ali, Bariah Mohd; Saadatian, Omidreza; Ruslan, Mohd Hafidz; Salleh, Elias; Sopian, Kamaruzzaman

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2013.08.005

Cited by 38 publications

(16 citation statements)

References 8 publications

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“…Also these models have been used to analyse local options with more details. For example, in [19] renewable energy options are analysed to mitigate climate change in India, and in [20] the MESSAGE model was used to evaluate 12 strategies to reduce the Malaysia's carbon footprint of the energy sector. In [21] the Asian Pacific Integrated Model (AIM) is used for scenario analysis of GHG emission and the impacts of global warming in the Asian Pacific region.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Impact of a Carbon Tax on the Chilean Electricity Generation Sector

et al. 2015

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This paper aims to analyse the economy-wide implications of a carbon tax applied on the Chilean electricity generation sector. In order to analyse the macroeconomic impacts, both an energy sectorial model and a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model have been used. During the year 2014 a carbon tax of 5 US$/tCO2e was approved in Chile. This tax and its increases (10, 20, 30, 40 and 50 US$/tCO2e) are evaluated in this article. The results show that the effectiveness of this policy depends on some variables which are not controlled by policy makers, for example, non-conventional renewable energy investment cost projections, natural gas prices, and the feasibility of exploiting hydroelectric resources. For a carbon tax of 20 US$/tCO2e, the average annual emission reduction would be between 1.1 and 9.1 million tCO2e. However, the price of the electricity would increase between 8.3 and 9.6 US$/MWh. This price shock would decrease the annual GDP growth rate by a maximum amount of 0.13%. This article compares this energy policy with others such as the introduction of non-conventional renewable energy sources and a sectorial cap. The results show that the same global OPEN ACCESSEnergies 2015, 8 2675 greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction can be obtained with these policies, but the impact on the electricity price and GDP are lower than that of the carbon tax.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Impact of a Carbon Tax on the Chilean Electricity Generation Sector

et al. 2015

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“…In Malaysia, Fairuz et al . analyze the cost and carbon footprint of long‐term strategy for electricity generation in Peninsular Malaysia using MESSAGE and find the best strategy to be the mix: 49.3% (natural gas), 28.4% (coal), 4.06% (nuclear), 2.98% (hydropower), 4.45% (renewable), and 10.82% (imported hydropower). Fairuz et al .…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estonian energy supply strategy assessment for 2035 and its vulnerability to climate driven shocks

Lehtveer

Pelakauskas

Ipbüker

et al. 2015

Env Prog and Sustain Energy

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Estonia is a relatively small country with a limited supply of indigenous energy resources mainly consisting of oil shale, wood, and peat. Estonia is also the only country in Europe with a dominant electricity production by burning oil shale. Around 90% of the overall electric energy production in Estonia comes from the Narva Power Plants. This presents great challenges and problems due to massive emissions of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere as well as radiological impact on the environment. Therefore, the current energy supply strategy can be considered hazardous and an unpopular choice for future energy system planning. In this article, we analyze the current energy policy as well as inclusion of new strategies to produce electricity for Estonia for a target year of 2035. We use a computer model Model for Supply Strategy Alternatives and their General Environmental Impacts (MESSAGE) to provide optimization and aim in helping the policymakers in the Estonian decision making process. We also add a specific case in the MESSAGE model to examine the ability of the current electricity supply strategy to handle climate related shocks with a special focus on cold weather in two plausible cases; single cold winter and prolonged cold winter. Results indicate that unexpected demand shocks may cause serious losses in gross domestic product (GDP). Therefore, the authors come to the conclusion that extra capacity is highly recommendable for a number of reasons. We also find that nuclear power becomes economically preferable to oil shale with a CO2 tax of €20/t. Yet moving toward nuclear or other low CO2 alternatives presents certain challenges. © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers Environ Prog, 35: 469–478, 2016

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“…Many researches around the world have considered the application of energy planning tools to investigate the optimality of the national energy plans. These research works include: longterm CO2 emission reductions in UK energy sector [18], the contribution of innovative power generation technologies in GHG mitigation in China [19], an infrastructure for a hydrogenbased transport system in Germany [20], demand response from a microeconomic perspective and future energy system in Denmark [21,22], the role of bioenergy to achieve low-carbon and high-security energy scenarios in Ireland [23,24], the economic impact of gas dependence in power generation in Thailand [25], a sustainable energy plan for Cuba [26], future perspectives of renewable energy in the power-generation sector for UK [27] and Portugal [28], the costs of a low-carbon power supply in Malaysia [29], the impact of nuclear power plants and CCS (carbon capture and storage) on the future structure of energy system in India [30], the United Arab Emirates [31], Brazil [32], and Korea [33].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An overview of energy planning in Iran and transition pathways towards sustainable electricity supply sector

Aryanpur

Atabaki

Marzband

et al. 2019

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews

108

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Despite a substantial potential of renewable energy sources, the current energy supply system in Iran relies almost entirely on fossil fuel resources. It has imposed significant financial burden on the country and has led to considerable GHG emissions. Moreover, the country is confronting several challenges for harnessing alternative clean energy sources and promoting rational energy policies over the recent decades. To probe the root cause of these problems, this paper first provides an overview on the previous energy planning attempts in Iran. It shows that adequate commitment to a long-term energy planning could have meaningfully prevented these serious challenges. However, the previous studies have had some limitations in terms of employing appropriate planning tools, comprehensive evaluations, and scenarios definition and ranking. This paper thus proposes a power planning framework to assess the sustainability of future electricity scenarios for the period 2015-2050. MESSAGE, a systems engineering optimization model, is employed to evaluate the potential impacts of transitioning to a low-carbon electricity supply system. Using a combined AHP-TOPSIS method, the scenarios are then ranked based on 18 different techno-economic, environmental, and social dimensions of sustainability. The results indicate that scenario Cl_32, in which the share of non-hydro clean energy for electricity generation reaches 32%, is ranked best.

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Long term strategy for electricity generation in Peninsular Malaysia – Analysis of cost and carbon footprint using MESSAGE

Cited by 38 publications

References 8 publications

The Impact of a Carbon Tax on the Chilean Electricity Generation Sector

The Impact of a Carbon Tax on the Chilean Electricity Generation Sector

Estonian energy supply strategy assessment for 2035 and its vulnerability to climate driven shocks

An overview of energy planning in Iran and transition pathways towards sustainable electricity supply sector

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