Long-term targets for green building: Explorative Delphi backcasting study on wood-frame multi-story construction in Finland

Hurmekoski, Elias; Pykäläinen, Jouni; Hetemäki, Lauri

doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.08.031

Cited by 53 publications

(62 citation statements)

References 26 publications

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“…It also became quite evident that they wished for a favorable regulatory environment towards year 2030 in order to enhance positive development for the use of wood in the multi-story building sector. Despite this, the actual uptake of wood in multi-story construction could still take considerable time and effort (see also Hurmekoski et al 2016), and happen, for example, via the emergence of hybrid building material based solutions. The Round 2 results confirmed the weight of perceived likelihood of sustainability-driven WMC to be lower than the desirability of the foreseen development.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The normative emphasis, based on Hurmekoski et al (2016), took a backcasting approach based on a two-stage Delphi survey, with the aim of exploring: What are the key hindrances for the diffusion of wood construction and green building? Which strategy and policy orientations appear viable for pursuing the long-term targets set by the industries?…”

Section: Methods and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Thus, in addition to environmental issues, also changing building regulation is bound to be one key driving force for the future of WMC. Based upon a backcasting futures study, Hurmekoski et al (2016) concluded that only more stringent regulatory push for green building and the courage to take new roles among the wood element suppliers in the construction value chain could effectively boost the further diffusion of WMC. However, these authors were rather pessimistic that even the most effective measures could have only a gradual impact, and mainly through increasing number of successful reference projects.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Economics of forest carbon storage and the additionality principle

Tahvonen

Rautiainen

2017

Resource and Energy Economics

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Methods and Datamentioning

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Section: Introductionmentioning

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Economics of forest carbon storage and the additionality principle

Tahvonen

Rautiainen

2017

Resource and Energy Economics

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“…In the rapidly urbanizing, increasingly populated and warmer future projected for the globe, wood has potential to increase its share as a carbon neutral, renewable construction material especially in urban, high-rise buildings. Green building 1 has been promoted throughout the EU via several strategies, roadmaps and flagship initiatives, yet without advocating for any special material (Hurmekoski et al 2018). The new bioeconomy strategy of the European Commission of 2018, however, calls for increased use of wood in construction to substitute more energy-intensive materials (EC 2018, 44).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The new bioeconomy strategy of the European Commission of 2018, however, calls for increased use of wood in construction to substitute more energy-intensive materials (EC 2018, 44). In some European contexts, national and local bioeconomy strategies and green building initiatives seek to promote the use of wood in construction (Hurmekoski et al 2018). In addition to the tightening of the environmental regulations nationally and in the EU (Hurmekoski et al 2015b), and the growing public interest towards "sustainable" or green building solutions (Wang et al 2014), the technological advances over the couple of last decades have paved the way for the increased use of wood in construction (Hildebrant et al 2017).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Institutional and policy frameworks shaping the wooden multi-storey construction markets: a comparative case study on Austria and Finland

Vihemäki¹,

Ludvig

Toivonen³

et al. 2019

Wood Material Science & Engineering

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In the urbanizing society faced with the climate change challenge, wood has major potential as a lowcarbon and renewable construction material. Yet, Wooden Multi-storey Construction (WMC) remains a niche even in countries with rich forest resources. This paper compares the institutional and policy setting and assesses the WMC growth prospects in Austria and Finland, based on expert interviews, Delphi surveys, and the review of secondary materials. Clear differences were detected in the policy frameworks and institutional settings between the two countries. The Austrian fairly informal and largely private sector driven approaches to promote the growth of the WMC sector seem to have had a rather similar effect on the markets, as the formal policy measures, typically driven by the public sector in Finland. In both countries, the interviewed experts suggested additional, but partly different, policy measures and institutional changes to accelerate WMC market diffusion. In spite of the increase in WMC activity within the past ten years, the WMC market share is likely to remain rather low by 2030 in both countries, as the institutional frameworks are not expected to change abruptly. However, the future market prospects appear to be somewhat more positive in Finland compared with Austria.

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Outlook for the Forest-Based Bioeconomy

Hurmekoski

Hetemäki

Jänis

2022

Managing Forest Ecosystems

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The state of the world’s managed forests is determined by the societal demands for wood resources and other ecosystem services. The forest-based sector is experiencing a number of structural changes, which makes the task of looking ahead important, but challenging. One of the main trends in the forest-based industries is diversification. On one hand, this refers to the emergence of new factors influencing the demand for forest-based products, which leads to substitution between forest-based products and alternative products. On the other hand, it refers to new market opportunities for forest-based industries in, for example, the construction, textiles, packaging, biochemicals and biofuels markets. As the importance of some of the traditional forest-based industries, such as communication papers, is declining, and new opportunities are simultaneously emerging, the sector will not necessarily be dominated by single sectors in the long term. However, research illuminating the possible impacts of the expected structural changes of the forest-based sector remains scarce. The uncertainties in the future outlook of the forest-based sector also imply great uncertainties in the demand for roundwood globally, and by extension, the extent of trade-offs between different ecosystem services and land uses.

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Long-term targets for green building: Explorative Delphi backcasting study on wood-frame multi-story construction in Finland

Cited by 53 publications

References 26 publications

Economics of forest carbon storage and the additionality principle

Economics of forest carbon storage and the additionality principle

Institutional and policy frameworks shaping the wooden multi-storey construction markets: a comparative case study on Austria and Finland

Outlook for the Forest-Based Bioeconomy

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