2020
DOI: 10.1002/1878-0261.12870
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Longitudinal tumor fraction trajectories predict risk of progression in metastatic HR+ breast cancer patients undergoing CDK4/6 treatment

Abstract: With longitudinal untargeted assessment of circulating tumor DNA in metastatic HR+ breast cancer patients during CDK4/6 treatment and joint model analyses, we demonstrated that tumor fraction trajectories rather than single time point measurements provide important dynamic information on developing disease progression. The joint model can also use the trajectories for providing dynamic predictions for the individual patient.

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Cited by 12 publications
(10 citation statements)
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References 27 publications
(36 reference statements)
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“…Although some patients might initially show short-term responses before progression, others may demonstrate a delayed response. Therefore, a continuous monitoring at several time points may harbor important dynamic information 30 and might better reflect the pathologic response.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Although some patients might initially show short-term responses before progression, others may demonstrate a delayed response. Therefore, a continuous monitoring at several time points may harbor important dynamic information 30 and might better reflect the pathologic response.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Therefore, researchers have focused on integrating multiple variables and constructing predictive models to more accurately predict the prognosis of patients. Dandachi et al 34 conducted a prospective study using longitudinal tumor fraction trajectories to predict the risk of PFS events in HR + /HER2- ABC patients receiving CDK4 /6i, including those who exhibited resistance to such inhibitors. Through multiple follow-up visits to HR + /HER2- ABC patients and using the Modified Fast Aneuploid Screening Test-SeqS and PCR techniques to evaluate the somatic cell copy numbers of all chromosomes at each follow-up and substituting into the computational model constructed by the researchers to obtain a genome-wide z-score is called a longitudinal z-score, to replace the tumor fraction in the blood.…”
Section: Clinical Prediction Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In contrast to the studies highlighted above, ctDNA dynamics can be monitored using the combined signal from profiling changes in many mutated genes instead of specific mutations. For instance, a recent study assessed ctDNA levels at baseline and four weeks for 45 patients treated with CDK4/6 inhibitors and endocrine therapy using the 73-gene Guardant360 assay [88] . This work defined a mean variant allele fraction ratio (mVAFR) as an average of mutations found between baseline and week 4 for each patient.…”
Section: Dynamic Ctdna Biomarkers Of Cdk4/6 Inhibitor Efficacy and Re...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…An additional study evaluated ctDNA using an untargeted sequencing technique, modified Fast Aneuploidy Screening Test-Sequencing System (mFAST-seq) in longitudinal samples from 49 HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer patients treated with CDK4/6 inhibitors [ 89 ] . In this work, associations between z-score measurements, which are surrogate measurements to ctDNA fraction, were made to clinical outcomes using joint models, which link data over a protracted period of time and time-to-event.…”
Section: Dynamic Ctdna Biomarkers Of Cdk4/6 Inhibitor Efficacy and Re...mentioning
confidence: 99%