Macroeconomic changes and mortality in Mexico

González, Fidel; Quast, Troy

doi:10.1007/s00181-010-0360-0

Cited by 59 publications

(46 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…The evolution of mortality rates and life expectancy in the United States during the 1920s and 1930s shows that mortality-based health indicators evolved better during the Great Depression of 1929-1933 than during the economic expansions of the ''roaring '' 1920s and mid-1930s (Tapia Granados and Diez Roux 2009. In medium-income market economies mortality responses to macroeconomic downturns have been found to be erratic (Tapinos et al 1997) or even clearly procyclical (Abdala et al 2000;Khang et al 2005;González and Quast 2010).…”

Section: Previous Research On Mortality and The Business Cyclementioning

confidence: 96%

Mortality and Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Contemporary Sweden

Granados

Ionides

2011

Eur J Population

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Recent research has provided strong evidence that, in the United States in particular and in high-or middle-income economies in general, mortality tends to evolve better in recessions than in expansions. It has been suggested that Sweden may be an exception to this pattern. The present investigation shows, however, that in the period 1968-2003 mortality oscillated procyclically in Sweden, deviating from its trend upward during expansions and downward during recessions. This pattern is evidenced by the oscillations of life expectancy, total mortality, and ageand sex-specific mortality rates at the national level, and also by regional mortality rates for the major demographic groups during recent decades. Results are robust for different economic indicators, methods of detrending, and models. In lag regression models macroeconomic effects on annual mortality tend to appear lagged 1 year. As in other countries, traffic mortality rises in expansions and declines in recessions, and the same is found for total cardiovascular mortality. However, macroeconomic effects on ischemic heart disease mortality appear at lag two and are hard to interpret. Reasons for the procyclical oscillations of mortality, for inconsistent results found in previous studies, as well as for the differences observed between Sweden and the United States are discussed.Résumé Des recherches récentes ont apporté de solides preuves que dans les économies présentant des revenus élevés ou moyens, et aux Etats-Unis en particulier, la mortalité tend à diminuer pendant les périodes de récession plutôt que pendant les périodes d'expansion. Il a été suggéré que la Suède pouvait être une exception à cette tendance générale. Cette recherche montre cependant qu'au cours de la période 1968-2003 la mortalité a oscillé de manière procyclique en Suède, déviant de ses tendances pour augmenter pendant les périodes d'expansion écon-omique et pour diminuer pendant les périodes de récession. Ce schéma est mis en évidence par les variations de l'espérance de vie, de la mortalité totale, des taux de mortalité par âge et par sexe au niveau national, mais aussi des taux régionaux de mortalité des grands groupes démographiques au cours des récentes décennies. Les résultats sont robustes pour les différents indicateurs socio-économiques, les méthodes de décomposition des séries chronologiques pour éliminer les tendances et les modèles utilisés. Dans les modèles de régression avec retard, des effets macroéconomiques sur la mortalité annuelle tendent à apparaître avec un retard d'une année. Comme dans les autres pays, la mortalité par accidents de la route augmente pendant les périodes d'expansion et diminue pendant les périodes de récession. Il en est de même pour la mortalité cardio-vasculaire totale. Cependant les effets macroéconomiques sur la mortalité par cardiopathie ischémique apparaissent avec un retard de deux années et sont difficiles à interpréter. Les raisons des oscillations procycliques de mortalité, des résultats instables observés dans les études antérieures, ...

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Section: Previous Research On Mortality and The Business Cyclementioning

confidence: 96%

Mortality and Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Contemporary Sweden

Granados

Ionides

2011

Eur J Population

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“…To assess the relationship between economic conditions and the child mortality rate, the literature (see, inter alia, Pritchett and Summers, 1996;Ruhm, 2000;Gerdtham and Ruhm, 2006;and Gonzalez and Quast, 2011) has estimated the following equation:…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Other panel studies that have considered this requirement include Ruhm (2000) and Gonzalez and Quast (2011) using data from states from within one country or Gerdtham and Ruhm (2006), examining data from OECD countries that might be considered integrated. Our data appears to satisfy the condition as CTOT fluctuations suggest enough independent variation across countries in our sample (e.g., the estimated correlation coefficients between our measures of CTOT were generally low -see section 4.2).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…∆ is therefore the first-difference of the logarithm of under-five mortality rate in the ith country in the sth observation and ∆ and refer to CTOT growth and CTOT volatility respectively. ∆ is a set of control variables (all in first-differences of the logarithm) including: the gross primary school enrolment ratio to control for the tendency of education to reduce mortality, the share of the population aged 0-4 and share of the population aged 65 and older to control for the age of the population, democracy dummies and domestic credit to private sector relative to GDP to control for institutional quality and financial development respectively, and GDP per capita growth to control for economic conditions (see Pritchett and Summers, 1996, Ruhm, 2000and Gonzalez and Quast, 2011. Finally, the term is a time-specific effect and is the error term.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Child mortality, commodity price volatility and the resource curse

Makhlouf

Kellard

Vinogradov

2017

Social Science & Medicine

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Given many developing economies depend on primary commodities, the fluctuations of commodity prices may imply significant effects for the wellbeing of children. To investigate, this paper examines the relationship between child mortality and commodity price movements as reflected by country-specific commodity terms-of-trade. Employing a panel of 69 low and lower-middle income countries over the period 1970-2010, we show that commodity terms-of-trade volatility increases child mortality in highly commodity-dependent importers suggesting a type of 'scarce' resource curse. Strikingly however, good institutions appear able to mitigate the negative impact of volatility. The paper concludes by highlighting this tripartite relationship between child mortality, volatility and good institutions and posits that an effective approach to improving child wellbeing in low to lower-middle income countries will combine hedging, import diversification and improvement of institutional quality.

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“…As in many developing countries, there are important concerns about under-reporting of deaths, particularly in poorer regions and among young children (Tome et al 1997;LozanoAscencio 2008;Hernandez et al 2012). 11 Corrections for under-reporting and misclassification of deaths were made by the Ministry of Health from 1980 onwards, and these data have been used in other prominent studies, albeit at levels of aggregation above the municipality level (Cutler et al 2002;Foster, Gutierrez and Kumar 2009;Barham 2011;Gonzalez and Quast 2011 Specifically, using appropriate sample weights, we aggregate household-level measures to create municipal-level data on the fraction of households with piped water and the fraction of households with septic system connections in their dwelling (a measure of sanitation coverage). We also create measures of average earned income among adults; the fraction of adults completing secondary schooling; and the fraction of the population speaking an indigenous language.…”

Section: Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Urban Water Disinfection and Mortality Decline in Developing Countries

et al. 2017

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in Urban Water Disinfection and Mortality Decline in Developing Countries mArch 2017Any opinions expressed in this paper are those of the author(s) and not those of IZA. Research published in this series may include views on policy, but IZA takes no institutional policy positions. The IZA research network is committed to the IZA Guiding Principles of Research Integrity. The IZA Institute of Labor Economics is an independent economic research institute that conducts research in labor economics and offers evidence-based policy advice on labor market issues. Supported by the Deutsche Post Foundation, IZA runs the world's largest network of economists, whose research aims to provide answers to the global labor market challenges of our time. Our key objective is to build bridges between academic research, policymakers and society. IZA Discussion Papers often represent preliminary work and are circulated to encourage discussion. Citation of such a paper should account for its provisional character. A revised version may be available directly from the author. 55% to 85% within six months. We find that on average, the program was associated with a 37 to 48% decline in diarrheal disease deaths among children (over 23,000 averted deaths per year) and was highly cost-effective (about $1,310 per life year saved). However, we also find evidence that age (degradation) of water pipes and lack of complementary sanitation infrastructure play important roles in attenuating these benefits. Countervailing behavioral responses, although present, appear to be less important. JEL Classification:I18, H41, J11

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Macroeconomic changes and mortality in Mexico

Abstract: Business cycles, Mortality rates, Developing countries, Mexico, C33, E32, I1,

Cited by 59 publications

References 22 publications

Mortality and Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Contemporary Sweden

Mortality and Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Contemporary Sweden

Child mortality, commodity price volatility and the resource curse

Urban Water Disinfection and Mortality Decline in Developing Countries

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