Macroeconomic costs to large scale disruptions of food production: The case of foot- and-mouth disease in the United States

Boisvert, Richard N.; Kay, David; Turvey, Calum G.

doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2012.06.007

Cited by 22 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 15 publications

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“…Durante a última década, houve crescente preocupação nos Estados Unidos com eventos que afetam a biossegurança agrícola nacional, seus canais de marketing e seu comércio internacional. Tal tomada de consciência foi consequência natural do atentado terrorista em Nova Iorque em 11 de Setembro de 2001, somado ao foco no agroterrorismo vivenciado pelo país durante a primeira parte da década de 1990 (21) . O "Congress Research Service" daquele país considerou agroterrorismo como um subconjunto do bioterrorismo, definido como a introdução deliberada de doença animal ou vegetal para afetar a pecuária ou o abastecimento de alimentos, gerando medo, causando perdas econômicas e/ou minando a estabilidade (8) .…”

Section: Resultsunclassified

Impactos Do Surto De Febre Aftosa De 2005 Sobre as Exportações De Carne Bovina Brasileira

Garcia

McManus

et al. 2015

Ciênc. anim. bras.

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Resumo A febre aftosa é uma barreira sanitária no comércio internacional e implica elevados investimentos para seu controle e graves prejuízos em casos de surto. Este trabalho investigou os impactos causados pela febre aftosa nas exportações de carne bovina in natura do Brasil após o surto de 2005, além do cumprimento do Princípio da Regionalização do Acordo sobre a Aplicação de Medidas Sanitárias e Fitossanitárias (SPS) pelos países membros da OMC, que compunham a lista dos 10 maiores importadores dessa carne em 2004. Foi realizada análise descritiva das exportações de carne bovina congelada e resfriada (carne bovina in natura), considerando-se os anos de 2004 a 2006, para os 10 maiores importadores desses produtos do Brasil e do mundo em 2004. Verificou-se que o surto não impediu o aumento das exportações de carne bovina in natura do Brasil, mas impactou negativamente as exportações do Mato Grosso do Sul e Paraná. A doença não causou impacto nas exportações para os Estados Unidos, Japão e México. Arábia Saudita, Rússia e Irã não eram Membros da OMC em outubro de 2005 e, portanto, não tinham a obrigação de respeitar o Princípio da Regionalização, ainda que a Rússia o tenha feito. Dentre os demais grandes importadores de 2004, os Países Baixos, Egito, Itália, Reino Unido, França, Alemanha e Espanha respeitaram o Princípio da Regionalização do Acordo SPS. O Chile não respeitou o Princípio da Regionalização e a ocorrência da doença fechou aquele mercado à carne bovina brasileira in natura.

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Section: Resultsunclassified

Impactos Do Surto De Febre Aftosa De 2005 Sobre as Exportações De Carne Bovina Brasileira

Garcia

McManus

et al. 2015

Ciênc. anim. bras.

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“…However, according to their severity and the extent of contamination, livestock diseases may also have impacts that go beyond the affected farm (Attavanich et al 2011) or the sole agricultural sector (Dijkhuizen et al 1991). As illustrated in the case of foot-and-mouth disease, such diseases can have disastrous macro-economic consequences due to the interdependence of economic sectors (Boisvert et al 2012). The shortage of veterinarian services may also have repercussions on human health related to the spread of zoonoses or chemical substances used to treat sick animals (Teillant et al 2015).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Veterinarian shortage areas: what determines the location of new graduates?

Truchet

Mauhé

Hervé³

2017

Rev Agric Food Environ Stud

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Over the past ten years, the number of veterinarians in rural areas has declined in many countries, giving rise to concerns about the geographical coverage of livestock health care. However, very little scientific work has been devoted to veterinarian shortage areas. This paper aims to shed light on this issue. Using econometric models based on count data, we test the effect of geographical and socioeconomic characteristics of French living zones on the number of new veterinarians established in 2014. This work generated several findings. First, our study emphasises the importance of taking into account the heterogeneity of veterinarians. Indeed, the estimation results highly depend on the type of animals treated and gender. Second, we observed that the location of food animal practitioners depends on the characteristics of local demand (size and type of animal production) as well as on labour supply factors (natural or urban amenities, public service facilities). The results suggest that the risk of veterinarian shortages may be higher for areas specialised in animal production other than bovine (sheep, goats). They also suggest that maintaining public services may be a key issue for attracting food animal veterinarians in remote rural areas. Finally, our results show that veterinarians tend to cluster, which suggests that new veterinarians choose to establish themselves as employees or associates in already existing veterinary offices in order to share costs and minimise risks.

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“…It has also been used to evaluate the economy-wide effects of FMD outbreaks in the UK and Taiwan [16,17]. Boisvert et al [18] is an application of a global CGE approach to an FMD outbreak in the USA. The CGE approach is capable of calculating two factors previously neglected in most studies of the economic consequences of terrorism: resilience and behavioral linkages [19].…”

Section: Cge Analysis Of Potential Fmd Outbreak In the United Statesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Economic Impacts of Potential Foot and Mouth Disease Agroterrorism in the USA: A General Equilibrium Analysis

Oladosu¹

2012

J Bioterror Biodef

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The foot and mouth disease (FMD) virus has high agro-terrorism potential because it is contagious, can be easily transmitted via inanimate objects and can be spread by wind. An outbreak of FMD in developed countries results in massive slaughtering of animals (for disease control) and disruptions in meat supply chains and trade, with potentially large economic losses. Although the United States has been FMD-free since 1929, the potential of FMD as a deliberate terrorist weapon calls for estimates of the physical and economic damage that could result from an outbreak. This paper estimates the economic impacts of three alternative scenarios of potential FMD attacks using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of the US economy. The three scenarios range from a small outbreak successfully contained within a state to a large multi-state attack resulting in slaughtering of 30 percent of the national livestock. Overall, the value of total output losses in our simulations range between $37 billion (0.15% of 2006 baseline economic output) and $228 billion (0.92%). Major impacts stem from the supply constraint on livestock due to massive animal slaughtering. As expected, the economic losses are heavily concentrated in agriculture and food manufacturing sectors, with losses ranging from $23 billion to $61 billion in the two industries.

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Macroeconomic costs to large scale disruptions of food production: The case of foot- and-mouth disease in the United States

Cited by 22 publications

References 15 publications

Impactos Do Surto De Febre Aftosa De 2005 Sobre as Exportações De Carne Bovina Brasileira

Impactos Do Surto De Febre Aftosa De 2005 Sobre as Exportações De Carne Bovina Brasileira

Veterinarian shortage areas: what determines the location of new graduates?

Economic Impacts of Potential Foot and Mouth Disease Agroterrorism in the USA: A General Equilibrium Analysis

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