“…The third novel contribution of the study is to evaluate the predictive accuracy of our identified cost of crime weighted hot spots using historical data to predict future crimes. While prior work has mapped harm spots (Curtis-Ham & Walton, 2017;Fenimore, 2019;Norton et al, 2018;Weinborn et al, 2017), the majority of that work has simply focused on crime concentration, and has not assessed the predictive accuracy of a technique to create such harmspots (for an exception, see Macbeth & Ariel, 2019). Additionally, most of that work has mapped harm spots at a specific pre-chosen unit of analysis (Curtis-Ham & Walton, 2017;Mitchell, 2019;Norton et al, 2018;Weinborn et al, 2018, for an exception see Fenimore, 2019 who used weighted kernel density estimates).…”