2008
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecocom.2007.09.002
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Mapping the complexity of ecological models

Abstract: We propose to define the complexity of an ecological model as the statistical complexity of the output it produces. This allows for a direct comparison between data and model complexity. Working with univariate time series, we show that this measure 'blindly' discriminates among the different dynamical behaviours a model can exhibit. We then search a model parameter space in order to segment it into areas of different dynamical behaviour and calculate the maximum complexity a model can generate. Given a time s… Show more

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Cited by 26 publications
(16 citation statements)
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“…With increased model complexity we are less able to manage and understand model behaviour. As a result, the ability of a model to simulate complex dynamics is no more an absolute value in itself, rather a relative one: we need enough complexity to realistically model a process, but not so much that we ourselves can not handle [46]. For example, if we want to model biophysical processes on environmental interfaces we meet r c a lot of uncertainties in time series of calculated physical quantities.…”
Section: Numerical Simulations With Maps Of Exchange Processes On Thementioning
confidence: 99%
“…With increased model complexity we are less able to manage and understand model behaviour. As a result, the ability of a model to simulate complex dynamics is no more an absolute value in itself, rather a relative one: we need enough complexity to realistically model a process, but not so much that we ourselves can not handle [46]. For example, if we want to model biophysical processes on environmental interfaces we meet r c a lot of uncertainties in time series of calculated physical quantities.…”
Section: Numerical Simulations With Maps Of Exchange Processes On Thementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Some of the issues related to points 1 and 2 have been addressed in [14] and [7] and we refer the reader to that work and the references listed therein. Here we address point 3.…”
Section: Studying a Complex System Via Numerical Modelingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Unlike Kolmogorov's definition though, very little information is needed to statistically reproduce a random time series, since no amount of memory (effort) can help improving our predictive ability, i.e., an ''optimal'' prediction can be performed with zero memory (there is no point in storing the outcomes of roulette draws to bet on the next draw). Since these information-theoretic views of complexity are closely related to predictability and in particular to the amount of information required to achieve useful or optimal prediction, they can be applied to scientific modeling in a straightforward manner [7].…”
Section: Definitions and Measures Of Complexitymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A large number of definitions have been proposed in the literature and because a review is beyond the scope of this work, we adopt here as definition of complexity the amount of information needed to describe a process, a system, or an object. This definition is computable (at least in one of its forms), is observer-independent (once resolution is defined), applies to both data and models [20] and provides a framework within which selforganization and emergence can also be consistently defined.…”
Section: Complexity 31 Conceptmentioning
confidence: 99%