“…Such phenomena have been investigated in laboratory experiments, including thermal convection [1][2][3], Couette flows [4], von Kármán swirling flows [5][6][7], rotating turbulence [8], or the dynamo instability [9]. It is also observed in the atmosphere [10][11][12], with dramatic consequences on climate, or in industrial systems [13][14][15][16][17][18], with implications on energy efficiency and fatigue of the structures. In spite of their variety, these systems share the feature of exhibiting spontaneous transitions between multistable large-scale modes, with waiting times ahead of transitions exponentially distributed [1][2][3]6,7,19], and characteristic times several orders of magnitude larger than any hydrodynamic time of the underlying flow.…”