The aims of this study were to determine the power of discrimination of the real-time PCR assay for monitoring fluctuations in microbial populations within activated sludge and to identify sample processing points where methodological changes are needed to minimize the variability in target quantification. DNA was extracted using a commercially available kit from mixed liquor samples taken from the aeration tank of four bench-scale activated-sludge reactors operating at 2-, 5-, 10-, and 20-day solid retention times, with mixedliquor volatile suspended solid (MLVSS) values ranging from 260 to 2,610 mg/liter. Real-time PCR assays for bacterial and Nitrospira 16S rRNA genes were chosen because they represent, respectively, a highly abundant and a less-abundant bacterial target subject to clustering within the activated sludge matrix. The mean coefficient of variation in DNA yields (measured as microgram of DNA per milligram of MLVSS) in triplicate extractions of 12 different samples was 12.2%. Based on power analyses, the variability associated with DNA extraction had a small impact on the overall variability of the real-time PCR assay. Instead, a larger variability was associated with the PCR assay. The less-abundant target (Nitrospira 16S rRNA gene) had more variability than the highly abundant target (bacterial 16S rRNA gene), and samples from the lower-biomass reactors had more variability than samples from the higher-biomass reactors. Power analysis of real-time PCR assays indicated that three to five samples were necessary to detect a twofold increase in bacterial 16S rRNA genes, whereas three to five samples were required to detect a fivefold increase in Nitrospira 16S rRNA genes.The PCR represents a sensitive molecular detection method due to its ability to exponentially amplify a target gene. Although traditional PCR is not quantitative, real-time PCR modifications of the technique allow the rapid quantification of the amount of template present at the start of the amplification process (for recent reviews, see references 6, 8, and 17). The application of real-time PCR for the quantification of particular microbial populations in environmental samples, such as soil, water, sediments, or activated sludge, has increased recently (2,5,16,17,19,20,21,23,24,35). Although this technique is powerful and robust, accurate quantification of specific microbial populations strongly depends on the quality and the yield of DNA extracted from the environmental sample and the inherent variability associated with the PCR amplification.Bacteria are the major component of activated sludge and are responsible for the oxidation of organic matter and nutrient transformations, as well as the production of polysaccharides and other polymeric materials that aid in the flocculation of the microbial biomass (3). Although the activated sludge system is the most widely used biological process for the treatment of wastewaters, the achievement of reliable high-quality effluent is still elusive, as upsets in plant performance are frequen...