Influential TrendsPopulation Growth, Urbanisation and Decline in Arable Land Area Per Capita It is possible to identify certain significant trends worldwide that will affect agricultural production and nutrient use in future. Population growth and urbanisation are increasing (Figure 3.1). Between 1950 and 2009, the global population increased from 2.5 billion to 6.8 billion and is expected to reach 9.1 billion by 2050 (United Nations, 2009). Furthermore, population growth is expected to occur mainly in urban areas (Table 3.1). Statistics show that 1.4 billion people are now living in 600 cities with a mean population of 2.3 million per city, excluding suburban areas with a population greater than 0.75 million inhabitants (GeoHive, 2010). These scenarios will have some foreseeable effects.Population growth will not be accompanied by an increase in agricultural land, as the total area of agricultural land can only be marginally expanded. In most cases, only forests are at hand for conversion, as pointed out by Gregory et al. (2002), and other areas cannot be trans-