Fossil fuel burning and deforestation have driven dramatic increases in atmospheric CO 2 since the industrial revolution. However, forests in the northern temperate region sequester a substantial (~0.6 Pg·yr -1 ) amount of carbon (C), largely through the regrowth of secondary forests that were originally cleared for timber over one hundred years ago. In the United States, however, some regions are approaching a maximum regrowth as forests are cleared again, this time for suburban and exurban development. Here we explore the effects of such development on C stocks in King County, WA, an area with high forest cover but rapid suburban expansion. We measured soil and biomass C on 18 paired-house/forest lots, and found house lots stored ~80 Mg·C·ha -1 less soil C, and between 130 and 280 Mg·C·ha -1 less above-ground biomass C than adjacent forest lots. Combining soil C losses with estimates of C emissions from forest products yields average C emissions of 130 -280 Mg·C·ha -1 , with the majority of losses occurring at the time of lot conversion. As a comparison, suburban dwellers drive ~30% more than city residents, but this increase in annual emissions from increased driving is 1% -2.5% of the losses of C associated with converting forests to house lots. If forestland conversion in the Seattle area continues apace, in the coming decades C emissions each year from that land-use conversion will equal ~4% of King County's 2008 C emissions.Keywords: Land-Use Change; Carbon; Urban Soils; Emissions; Urban Growth; Development
IntroductionLand-use change and the burning of fossil fuels have dramatically increased atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) concentrations since the industrial revolution, to a level not seen during the past 650 thousand years (IPCC 2007). Carbon (C) sequestration in regrowing forests, particularly in the northern temperate forest of North America and Europe, has partially offset these emissions Schimel et al., 2001;Houghton, 2007). However, as reforestation in some areas reaches a peak, and suburban and exurban development begins to reverse forest regrowth (Wienert 2006;Dwyer et al., 2000), rates of C sequestration may slow. In the United States, most current deforestation for suburban development occurs in forests that were previously cleared, either for agriculture or silviculture. Since urban and exurban landscapes account for 1.5 million·km 2 , or about 25% of the conterminous US, and have grown at an average rate of 24,600 km 2 ·yr -1 for the past fifty years (Brown et al., 2005), the fate of C in secondary forested landscapes undergoing conversion to housing bears closer examination.Despite its potential importance, the effects of suburban development on soil and biomass C has only recently been assessed in several regions of the US (Pouyat et al., 2002). In two northeastern temperate cities, Boston and Syracuse, urban soils contained ~60% less C than was stored belowground pre-evelopment, while in Chicago and Oakland soil C was slightly higher (4% -6%) in urban soils . In more arid regions, incl...