Modeling the distribution of the Mediterranean fruit fly, Ceratitis capitata (Wiedemann, 1824) (Diptera, Tephritidae) in Turkey and its range expansion in Black Sea Region

Kaya, Tayfun; Ada, Eren; İpekdal, Kahraman

doi:10.16970/ted.28388

Cited by 5 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…The vast majority are species distribution models (SDMs), which estimate the nature of the relationship between the species' current distribution (i.e., presence/absence) and environmental variables (i.e., temperature, rainfall, land use etc.) (Vera et al 2002;Gevrey and Worner 2006;De Meyer et al 2007;Li et al 2009;Szyniszewska and Tatem 2014;Godefroid et al 2015;Kaya et al 2017). These models are powerful tools that, under specific assumptions (Soberon and Nakamura 2009;Wiens et al 2009;Warren 2012), allow estimating the current and the projected distribution of a species in the form of habitat suitability indices.…”

Section: Requirements For the Development Of Modelling Tools Supporting The Management Of Ceratitis Capitatamentioning

confidence: 99%

Non-linear physiological responses to climate change: the case of Ceratitis capitata distribution and abundance in Europe

et al. 2021

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Understanding how climate change might influence the distribution and abundance of crop pests is fundamental for the development and the implementation of pest management strategies. Here we present and apply a modelling framework assessing the non-linear physiological responses of the life-history strategies of the Mediterranean fruit fly (Ceratitis capitata, Wiedemann) to temperature. The model is used to explore how climate change might influence the distribution and abundance of this pest in Europe. We estimated the change in the distribution, abundance and activity of this species under current (year 2020) and future (years 2030 and 2050) climatic scenarios. The effects of climate change on the distribution, abundance and activity of C. capitata are heterogeneous both in time and in space. A northward expansion of the species, an increase in the altitudinal limit marking the presence of the species, and an overall increase in population abundance is expected in areas that might become more suitable under a changing climate. On the contrary, stable or reduced population abundances can be expected in areas where climate change leads to equally suitable or less suitable conditions. This heterogeneity reflects the contribution of both spatial variability in the predicted climatic patterns and non-linearity in the responses of the species’ life-history strategies to temperature.

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Section: Requirements For the Development Of Modelling Tools Supporting The Management Of Ceratitis Capitatamentioning

confidence: 99%

Non-linear physiological responses to climate change: the case of Ceratitis capitata distribution and abundance in Europe

et al. 2021

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“…This is an ongoing phenomenon observed, for example, in northern Italy [ 15 ]. A variety of climate matching and ecologically niche models have been used to assess the potential geographic distribution of the medfly in different parts of the world [ 16 – 20 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of the Mediterranean fruit fly [Ceratitis capitata (Wiedemann)] spatio-temporal distribution in relation to sex and female mating status for precision IPM

et al. 2018

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The Mediterranean fruit fly (medfly), Ceratitis capitata (Wiedemann), is a key pest of fruit crops in many tropical, subtropical and mild temperate areas worldwide. The economic importance of this fruit fly is increasing due to its invasion of new geographical areas. Efficient control and eradication efforts require adequate information regarding C. capitata adults in relation to environmental and physiological cues. This would allow effective characterisation of the population spatio-temporal dynamic of the C. capitata population at both the orchard level and the area-wide landscape.The aim of this study was to analyse population patterns of adult medflies caught using two trapping systems in a peach orchard located in central Italy. They were differentiated by adult sex (males or females) and mating status of females (unmated or mated females) to determine the spatio-temporal dynamic and evaluate the effect of cultivar and chemical treatments on trap catches. Female mating status was assessed by spermathecal dissection and a blind test was carried out to evaluate the reliability of the technique. Geostatistical methods, variogram and kriging, were used to produce distributional maps. Results showed a strong correlation between the distribution of males and unmated females, whereas males versus mated females and unmated females versus mated females showed a lower correlation. Both cultivar and chemical treatments had significant effects on trap catches, showing associations with sex and female mating status. Medfly adults showed aggregated distributions in the experimental field, but hot spots locations varied. The spatial pattern of unmated females reflected that of males, whereas mated females were largely distributed around ripening or ripe fruit. The results give relevant insights into pest management. Mated females may be distributed differently to unmated females and the identification of male hot spots through monitoring would allow localisation of virgin female populations. Based on our results, a more precise IPM strategy, coupled with effective sanitation practices, could represent a more effective approach to medfly control.

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Predicting the Invasion Risk by Anastrepha sororcula (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Distinct Geographic Regions

et al. 2021

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Modeling the distribution of the Mediterranean fruit fly, Ceratitis capitata (Wiedemann, 1824) (Diptera, Tephritidae) in Turkey and its range expansion in Black Sea Region

Cited by 5 publications

References 22 publications

Non-linear physiological responses to climate change: the case of Ceratitis capitata distribution and abundance in Europe

Non-linear physiological responses to climate change: the case of Ceratitis capitata distribution and abundance in Europe

Analysis of the Mediterranean fruit fly [Ceratitis capitata (Wiedemann)] spatio-temporal distribution in relation to sex and female mating status for precision IPM

Predicting the Invasion Risk by Anastrepha sororcula (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Distinct Geographic Regions

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