Modeling water quality in the Anthropocene: directions for the next-generation aquatic ecosystem models

Mooij, Wolf M.; Wijk, Dianneke van; Beusen, Arthur; Brederveld, Robert J.; Chang, Manqi; Cobben, Marleen M. P.; Jiang, Jiang; Downing, Andrea S.; Green, Pamela; Gsell, Alena S.; Huttunen, Inese; Janse, Jan H.; Janssen, Annette B.G.; Hengeveld, G.M.; Kong, Xiangzhen; Kramer, Lilith; Kuiper, Jan J.; Langan, Simon; Nolet, Bart A.; Nuijten, Rascha J.M.; Strokal, Maryna; Troost, Tineke A.; Dam, A. A. van; Teurlincx, Sven

doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2018.10.012

Cited by 28 publications

(22 citation statements)

References 94 publications

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“…In fact, most scientific publications deal with the construction of wetlands for wastewater treatment but few deal with the improvement of water quality in natural wetlands [50], with only some exceptions such as the studies of References [3,23,51]. Although wetlands are still seen as "opportunities" for resource use by adequate ecosystem management [52], growing concerns over water quality relate to risks carried by wetland-dependent human communities, fishery collapses, and pollution, as society and wetland ecosystem become more integrated [53,54].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Priorities and Interactions of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) with Focus on Wetlands

Jaramillo¹,

Desormeaux²,

Hedlund³

et al. 2019

Water

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Wetlands are often vital physical and social components of a country’s natural capital, as well as providers of ecosystem services to local and national communities. We performed a network analysis to prioritize Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) targets for sustainable development in iconic wetlands and wetlandscapes around the world. The analysis was based on the information and perceptions on 45 wetlandscapes worldwide by 49 wetland researchers of the Global Wetland Ecohydrological Network (GWEN). We identified three 2030 Agenda targets of high priority across the wetlandscapes needed to achieve sustainable development: Target 6.3—“Improve water quality”; 2.4—“Sustainable food production”; and 12.2—“Sustainable management of resources”. Moreover, we found specific feedback mechanisms and synergies between SDG targets in the context of wetlands. The most consistent reinforcing interactions were the influence of Target 12.2 on 8.4—“Efficient resource consumption”; and that of Target 6.3 on 12.2. The wetlandscapes could be differentiated in four bundles of distinctive priority SDG-targets: “Basic human needs”, “Sustainable tourism”, “Environmental impact in urban wetlands”, and “Improving and conserving environment”. In general, we find that the SDG groups, targets, and interactions stress that maintaining good water quality and a “wise use” of wetlandscapes are vital to attaining sustainable development within these sensitive ecosystems.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Priorities and Interactions of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) with Focus on Wetlands

Jaramillo¹,

Desormeaux²,

Hedlund³

et al. 2019

Water

Self Cite

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“…Such a situation is seldom encountered in real-world cases on a catchment-scale (see, e.g., van Gils et al 2019). Therefore, the game may serve as a fictitious arena to experiment with scientific questions revolving around water quality management and decisionmaking (e.g., a form of a social ecological model, [Mooij et al 2019]), such as single player vs. group decision-making or human vs. artificial intelligence in finding optimal solutions to winning the game. Along with these applications, we encourage and support the community (through the open availability of the game) to create new and previously unforeseen uses of Flipping Lakes in communication, education and science.…”

Section: Recommendations For Game Moderatorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Flipping Lakes: Explaining concepts of catchment‐scale water management through a serious game

Armstrong

Kramer

Domis

et al. 2021

Limnology & Ocean Methods

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Ongoing anthropogenic and climatic pressures on inland waters have made water quality management a challenge of the 21st century. A holistic catchment-scale approach to water management which includes stakeholder participation will be a key in maintaining lake health. A first step toward community engagement is to bolster environmental literacy on lake management, ecology, and eutrophication concepts of stakeholders now and in future generations. However, communicating with nonwater professionals about effects of pollution on water quality and catchment-scale interactions across space and time can be difficult. Here, we present "Flipping Lakes," a games-based method for lake professionals to communicate and educate about catchment-level water quality management to diverse audiences. In Flipping Lakes, the players take on the role of water managers in a catchment and are tasked to prevent a lake from "flipping" from a clear to a turbid state. During the game, the catchment slowly becomes polluted by a range of sources of which the effects are exacerbated by societal or climatic scenarios. Players need to implement measures while taking into consideration the intrinsic properties of the catchment in order to keep lakes clean. The game was tested with a diverse range of user groups and was well-received. With its entertaining and accessible content, Flipping Lakes can lower communication barriers and increase understanding of difficult water quality concepts. The game is highly customizable, making it applicable to a variety of settings to support education and engagement of stakeholders and the broader community in order to address local water challenges around the globe.

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“…While designing the new model, bistability in response to changes in nutrient concentration was the core pattern to reproduce, since earlier empirical and modelling studies emphasised its relevance in managing lakes (Scheffer and Van Nes 2007;Mooij et al 2019). This guided our choice of parameter values and variations for a robustness analysis.…”

Section: Model Design With Imperfect Solutionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Short-term decisions in lake restoration have long-term consequences for water quality

2020

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Ecological regime shifts from clear to turbid water states in shallow temperate lakes are quite well-investigated phenomena but critical time lags from human interaction with the lake and restoration activities are much less understood. This is a complex challenge for institutions who manage lakes but are usually less familiar with non-linear dynamics, slow and fast influences on water quality and how to manage those from a social-ecological perspective. We extend a well-known minimal model of shallow lake regime shifts to enable simulations over time with short- and long-term management measures (nutrient reduction, trawling, planting of aquatic vegetation). While we explore the mathematical conditions for ecological bistability, we also identify the necessary and sufficient extent of measures to restore the clear water state. Restoration scenarios evaluated by trajectories in the state space demonstrate the increased effectiveness from combined measures even when considering countereffective activities such as pike fishing. But, single measures alone may delay or even miss the overall restoration target. Our analysis demonstrates the importance of understanding transient dynamics where stable state analyses alone remain elusive about alternative ways to interact with bistability. We conclude that successful management of bistable systems, and particularly shallow temperate lakes, needs careful balancing between short-term improvements and long-term influence on the systems state.

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Modeling water quality in the Anthropocene: directions for the next-generation aquatic ecosystem models

Cited by 28 publications

References 94 publications

Priorities and Interactions of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) with Focus on Wetlands

Priorities and Interactions of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) with Focus on Wetlands

Flipping Lakes: Explaining concepts of catchment‐scale water management through a serious game

Short-term decisions in lake restoration have long-term consequences for water quality

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