Nocturnal water temperature (Tw) affects the behaviour of aquatic biota and metabolism of whole rivers. However, night-time water temperature (nTw) is poorly understood because spot samples are typically taken during daylight hours, or Tw series are aggregated in ways that mask sub-daily properties. This paper examines 15-minute measurements of Tw and air temperature (Ta) collected at 36 sites in the Rivers Dove and Manifold, English Peak District.Data were stratified by day and night then analysed using hysteresis, auto-correlation and logistic regression techniques. Daily hysteresis loops show lagged responses between nTw and previous daylight air temperatures (dTa), plus the influence of groundwater and discharge variations. Logistic regression models were modified using a seasonal factor and explained between 80 to 94% of the variance in daily maximum nTw; minimum nTw were predicted with less skill, particularly for headwater sites in summer. Downstream variations in model parameters also reflect the influence of groundwater and/or riparian shade, and prevailing weather conditions. A case is presented where an intense summer storm resulted in the propagation of a thermal wave that produced maximum Tw at some sites during hours of darkness. Hence, our findings show that Tw management by riparian shade has to be seen in a catchment wide context, with anticipated benefits normalised for weather variability, extreme rainfall events, local influence of groundwater, and channel structures.Keywords: Water temperature; logistic regression; hysteresis curve; thermal wave; riparian shade; river management.
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INTRODUCTIONAmbient water temperature (Tw) regulates the photosynthesis of aquatic plants and the metabolism of cold-blooded piokilotherms, including fish, amphibians and aquatic invertebrates (Berry & Björkman 1980; Farrell 2009). Extreme Tw can stress or ultimately prove lethal to biota (e.g. Dallas & Rivers-Moore 2012;Martins et al. 2011) although some fauna can deploy avoidance strategies and/or acclimate to high temperatures (Breau et al. 2011;Cox & Rutherford, 2000; Geist et al. 2011). Nonetheless, sub-lethal Tw can still impact on spawning and breeding, hatching, growth, behaviour, distribution and phenology, thereby altering population structure and dynamics (Durance and Ormerod, 2007; Thackeray et al. 2010;Ward & Stanford 1982). There is evidence that Tw is rising in response to climate and environmental drivers, such as land-use change, land-drainage and modification of riparian vegetation (Broadmeadow et al. 2011;Langan et al., 2001;Malcolm et al., 2008;Webb, 1996). Consequently, there have been calls to manage rivers in ways that mitigate temperature increases to 'buy time' for ecosystems to adapt (Hansen et al., 2003;Wilby et al., 2010) whilst achieving other co-benefits (see for example: Nõges et al., 2010).To date, nocturnal water temperatures (nTw) have received relatively little if any explicit attention (see for example the review of Webb et al. [2008]). This is because spot Tw measurem...