Modelling the Cost and Benefits of Adaptation. A Targeted Review on Integrated Assessment Models with a Special Focus on Adaptation Modelling

Schwarze, Reimund; Oberpriller, Quirin; Peter, Martin; Füssler, Jürg

doi:10.1007/978-3-030-86211-4_1

Cited by 4 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 8 publications

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“…"In order to assess the potential impacts of climate change on water policy and infrastructure at a regional level, it is crucial to obtain reliable regional projections of temperature, precipitation, stream flow, and other relevant variables, and then use these projections in impact models to determine specific impacts" [4]. Hydrological models are the primary tool for simulating the effects of climate change on the water cycle and projecting future hydrological patterns.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Advancements in Modeling Protocols for Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources: A Review

Ray

Pati

Jhankar

et al. 2023

IJECC

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The scientific community has dedicated significant attention to climate change and climate variability in the past two decades, with numerous investigations focused on these topics. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's third and fourth assessment reports have provided clear evidence that the planet's climate has undergone significant changes since the pre-industrial era, resulting in a warmer phase. These changes have had severe effects on hydrological processes and the availability of water resources due to shifts in temperature and precipitation patterns. A better comprehension of climate change's impact on water resources can aid in developing sustainable strategies for their management and development. Hydrological models combined with climate models can offer a framework to comprehend and explore the interplay between climate, human activities, and water resources.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Advancements in Modeling Protocols for Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources: A Review

Ray

Pati

Jhankar

et al. 2023

IJECC

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show abstract

“…See e.g., United Nations Climate Change (2022) for a list of mainly global models, andSchwarze, R. et al (2022).…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Evidence-Based Support for Adaptation Policies in Emerging Economies

Großmann,

Heinisch,

Lutz

et al. 2023

LCE

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Climate change is increasingly evident, and the design of effective climate adaptation policies is important for regional and sectoral economic growth. We propose different modelling approaches to quantify the socio-economic impacts of climate change on three vulnerable countries (Kazakhstan, Georgia, and Vietnam) and design specific adaptations. We use a Dynamic General Equilibrium (DGE) model for Vietnam and an economy-energy-emission (E3) model for the other two countries. Our simulations until 2050 show that selected adaptation measures, in particular in the agricultural sector, have positive implications for GDP. However, some adaptation measures can even increase greenhouse gas emissions. Focusing on GDP alone can lead to welfare-reducing policy decisions.

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The macroeconomic effects of adapting to high-end sea-level rise via protection and migration

2022

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Climate change-induced sea level rise (SLR) is projected to be substantial, triggering human adaptation responses, including increasing protection and out-migration from coastlines. Yet, in macroeconomic assessments of SLR the latter option has been given little attention. We fill this gap by providing a global analysis of the macroeconomic effects of adaptation to SLR, including coastal migration, focusing on the higher end of SLR projections until 2050. We find that when adapting simultaneously via protection and coastal migration, macroeconomic costs can be lower than with protection alone. For some developing regions coastal migration is even less costly (in GDP) than protection. Additionally, we find that future macroeconomic costs are dominated by accumulated macroeconomic effects over time, rather than by future direct damages, implying the need for immediate adaptation. Finally, we demonstrate the importance of including autonomous adaptation in the reference scenario of economic assessment studies to avoid overestimation of adaptation benefits.

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Modelling the Cost and Benefits of Adaptation. A Targeted Review on Integrated Assessment Models with a Special Focus on Adaptation Modelling

Abstract: This paper gives a targeted review on Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) with a focus on damage functions and adaptation modelling.

Cited by 4 publications

References 8 publications

Advancements in Modeling Protocols for Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources: A Review

Advancements in Modeling Protocols for Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources: A Review

Evidence-Based Support for Adaptation Policies in Emerging Economies

The macroeconomic effects of adapting to high-end sea-level rise via protection and migration

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