Modelling the spread of ragweed: Effects of habitat, climate change and diffusion

Vogl, G.; Smolik, M.; Stadler, Lorenz-M.; Leitner, Michael; Essl, Franz; Dullinger, Stefan; Kleinbauer, Ingrid; Peterseil, Johannes

doi:10.1140/epjst/e2008-00758-y

Cited by 28 publications

(20 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…The species produces highly allergenic pollen in huge amounts (e.g., [2]). Up to 12% of the human population suffers from allergy (rhinitis and asthma) to Ambrosia pollen [3].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…(2) In the last decade many expanding populations of A. artemisiifolia in Central and Northern Europe have been evidenced [5].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For the successful establishment of invasive plant species evolutionary factors (e.g., the potential for rapid adaptation to novel environmental conditions) play an important role [7,11]. In case of A. artemisiifolia, it is controversially discussed whether this northward spread is mainly caused by climate change or due to an increased import of contaminated seeds and birdseeds [2]. In this study we focus on the effect of climate change on the expansion of A. artemisiifolia.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Range Expansion of Ambrosia artemisiifolia in Europe Is Promoted by Climate Change

2013

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Ambrosia artemisiifolia L., native to North America, is a problematic invasive species, because of its highly allergenic pollen. The species is expected to expand its range due to climate change. By means of ecological niche modelling (ENM), we predict habitat suitability for A. artemisiifolia in Europe under current and future climatic conditions. Overall, we compared the performance and results of 16 algorithms commonly applied in ENM. As occurrence records of invasive species may be dominated by sampling bias, we also used data from the native range. To assess the quality of the modelling approaches we assembled a new map of current occurrences of A. artemisiifolia in Europe. Our results show that ENM yields a good estimation of the potential range of A. artemisiifolia in Europe only when using the North American data. A strong sampling bias in the European Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) data for A. artemisiifolia causes unrealistic results. Using the North American data reflects the realized European distribution very well. All models predict an enlargement and a northwards shift of potential range in Central and Northern Europe during the next decades. Climate warming will lead to an increase and northwards shift of A. artemisiifolia in Europe.

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“…The species produces highly allergenic pollen in huge amounts (e.g., [2]). Up to 12% of the human population suffers from allergy (rhinitis and asthma) to Ambrosia pollen [3].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…(2) In the last decade many expanding populations of A. artemisiifolia in Central and Northern Europe have been evidenced [5].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Range Expansion of Ambrosia artemisiifolia in Europe Is Promoted by Climate Change

2013

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“…There are evidences on the effect of air pollution upon allergens, increasing exposure to the latter, their concentration and/or biological allergenic activity [11][12][13]. Habitats and levels of pollen are changing in Europe, as a result of cultural factors, more international travel and climate change [14][15][16][17]. There is now considerable evidence to suggest that climate change will have, and has already had, impacts pollutants and allergenic pollen existing in the air of big cities.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Risk Factors for Asthma Hospitalization among Adults and Elderly

Makra¹

2015

Arch Otolaryngol Rhinold

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Joint effect of biological (pollen) and chemical air pollutants on asthma emergency room (ER) visits was analyzed for Szeged region of Southern Hungary. Our database of a nine-year period (1999)(2000)(2001)(2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007) includes daily number of asthma emergency room (ER) visits, and daily mean concentrations of CO, PM 10 , NO, NO 2 , O 3 and SO 2 , furthermore two pollen variables (Ambrosia and total pollen excluding Ambrosia), as well. The analysis was performed for ER visits of asthma bronchiale using two age groups (adults and the elderly) of males and females for three seasons. Factor analysis was performed in order to clarify the relative importance of the pollutant variables affecting asthma ER visits. Asthma ER visits denote notably stronger associations with the pollutants in adult male than in adult female patients both for the pollen season of Ambrosia and the pollen-free season. Furthermore, adults are substantially more sensitive to severe asthma attack than the elderly for the season of total pollen excluding Ambrosia pollen. The joint effect of the chemical and pollen variables is the highest for the asthma ER cases in the pollen season of Ambrosia, basically due to the extra impact of the total pollen excluding Ambrosia pollen and partly due to Ambrosia pollen. A nonparametric regression technique was applied to discriminate between events of ER visit -no ER visit using pollen and chemical pollutants as explaining variables. Based on multiple correlations, the strongest relationships between ER visits and pollutants are observed during the pollen-free season. The elderly group with asthma bronchiale is characterized by weaker relationships between ER visits and pollutants compared to adults. Ratio of the number of correct decisions on the events of ER visit -no ER visit is lowest for the season of total pollen excluding Ambrosia pollen. Otherwise, similar conclusions hold as those received by multiple correlations. on aeroallergens. These include impacts on pollen amount, pollen allergen city, pollen season, plant and pollen distribution, and other plant attributes [18][19][20][21][22]. Hence, due to the continually increasing air pollution, respiratory diseases are of major concern worldwide. Air pollution of Hungary is one of the highest in Europe. Around 16,000 annual premature deaths attributable to exposure to ambient PM 10 concentrations are estimated in the country [23,24]. Furthermore, airborne pollen levels are also high. The Carpathian basin, involving Hungary (Figure 1) is considered the most polluted region with airborne ragweed (Ambrosia) pollen in Europe. Ambrosia in Hungary discharges the most pollen of all taxa; the ratio of its pollen release compared to the total pollen release in the late summer period is around 60-71% [25]. Highest counts on peak days in Szeged, Southern Hungary, are about one order of magnitude higher than those in other cities of Europe [26]. The sensitivity of patients to ragweed in Szeged is 83.7% [27]. About 30% of the Hungar...

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“…Ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia L., Ambrosia elatior L.), an annual wind-pollinated, seasonal potent allergenic weed, has spread all over the Europe, from north to south, particularly in the central and eastern European countries: France (Fumanal et al 2007), Italy (Zanon et al 2002), Switzerland (Bohren et al 2005), Austria (Vogl et al 2008), Poland (Stach et al 2007), Czech Republic (Rybniček et al 2000), Hungary (Makra et al 2005). A few studies have recently presented the seasonal distribution of Ambrosia artemisiifolia L. in Croatia (Peternel et al 2005;Š tefanić et al 2005;Cvitanović et al 2007).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Concentration of IgE in children during ragweed pollination season

Špehar¹,

Dodig

Hrga

et al. 2009

Aerobiologia

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Genetic and environmental factors are responsible for running allergic diseases. The aim of this study was to compare the values of total-(t-IgE) and allergen-specific IgE (s-IgE) to Ambrosia artemisiifolia L. (Amb a) in children with sensitization to Amb a during ragweed pollination season, who experienced seasonal symptoms of allergic rhinitis (rhinorrhea, post-nasal drip, nasal congestion, itching, sneezing) and asthma (coughing, especially at night, wheezing, shortness of breath, chest tightness). Ragweed pollen grains were collected in Virovitica (rural area) and Zagreb (urban area)-cities with the same geographical width and elevation-during ragweed pollination seasons (July-October in 2006 and 2007), and their count was estimated. Concentration of t-IgE and s-IgE in pollination season was determined in serum of children with symptoms of allergic diseases. The total count of ragweed pollen grains (PG) differed significantly between Virovitica and Zagreb in both years, 2006. and 2007. In Virovitica it was significantly greater than in Zagreb. There was no statistically significant seasonal difference in both, t-IgE and s-IgE, respectively. No correlation was found between pollen grain count and the concentration of IgE's. To clarify the induction of IgE synthesis in children with sensitization to Amb a, further studies are needed.

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Modelling the spread of ragweed: Effects of habitat, climate change and diffusion

Cited by 28 publications

References 9 publications

Range Expansion of Ambrosia artemisiifolia in Europe Is Promoted by Climate Change

Range Expansion of Ambrosia artemisiifolia in Europe Is Promoted by Climate Change

Risk Factors for Asthma Hospitalization among Adults and Elderly

Concentration of IgE in children during ragweed pollination season

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