Models and Methods of Formation of the Foresight-Controlling Mechanism

Abstract

The necessity of mechanisms for long-term forecasting and regulation of high-tech enterprise development strategies has been determined. This paper discusses how managers and designers can create models and methods for sustainability management mechanisms. The elements of novelty of this study and contribution to the existing theory of managing objects of socio-economic systems are: the development of the principle of a single mechanism of foresight-controlling, which made it possible to increase the efficiency and sustainability of the organizational behavior of objects; the development of theoretical and methodological models for the formation of a foresight-controlling management mechanism; the improvement of the management mechanism based on the combined application of mechanical and organic models of organizational behavior of socio-economic systems; the development of methods for regulating the management mechanism according to stability criteria in accordance with the characteristics of the enterprise’s innovation cycle; finally, the modernization of mathematical models and methods for studying the processes of functioning of the control mechanism. The following results of the implementation of the methods at the enterprise-object of research were obtained: the assessment and adjustment of planned and target indicators of the quality of management were carried out on the basis of an examination of the parameters of the quality of regulation; recommendations were developed for adjusting the planned and target indicators of the quality of the formation of development strategies, taking into account the factors of the knowledge economy. The results’ validations were implemented in projects and plans for the innovative development of the facility based on the transformation factors of the 5–6th modes of the economy.

Mathematical Foundations for Modeling a Zero-Carbon Electric Power System in Terms of Sustainability

“…In other words, for any values of the parameter (even arbitrarily large, but finite values) there will always be ω < ω 1 for which the values of the function constructed by Kotelnikov will differ from π, and there will always be ω > ω 1 , for which its values will be non-zero. Moreover, it is important to note that the indicated difference with increasing T does not tend to zero, but to approximately 0.281 [6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20]. Mathematical tools for approximating functions make it possible to evaluate and more accurately control jump-like processes.…”

“…Alyukov et al [5][6][7][8][9][10][11] make it possible to predict the influence of individual factors on the operation of an enterprise as a whole. V. Balakrishnan et al, A. Alabugin, and A. Nikitin showed that new control algorithms with increased accuracy significantly reduce the impact of forecasting errors [12][13][14]. In the economic ecosystems of a number of developing countries, researchers have identified the insufficient decarbonization of industrial territories.…”

Review of Models for and Socioeconomic Approaches to the Formation of Foresight Control Mechanisms: A Genesis

“…This determined the need for high-tech transformations in terms of knowledge economy factors. The application of the theoretical and methodological model determined the development and implementation of methods for the functioning of the mechanism [9,117]. The operations of organizational design were implemented at the enterprise and in the Center for the Coordination of Interests of the Complex: a group of experts, researchers, and developers of the project for the formation and experimental functioning of the mechanism was created; external management consultants trained the company's specialists in mastering the characteristics of extended accounting for VUCA environmental factors, and coordination with standard management functions when integrating foresight and controlling functionality.…”