2018
DOI: 10.3390/en11071899
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Modular Predictor for Day-Ahead Load Forecasting and Feature Selection for Different Hours

Abstract: Abstract:To improve the accuracy of the day-ahead load forecasting predictions of a single model, a novel modular parallel forecasting model with feature selection was proposed. First, load features were extracted from a historic load with a horizon from the previous 24 h to the previous 168 h considering the calendar feature. Second, a feature selection combined with a predictor process was carried out to select the optimal feature for building a reliable predictor with respect to each hour. The final modular… Show more

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Cited by 8 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…Other researchers introduced the latest neural network algorithm support vector machine into short-term power load forecasting, and compared its performance with the autoregressive model. The results show that the support vector machine is better than the autoregressive model that uses the same data to build and test the two models based on the root mean square error between the actual data and the predicted data [8]. At present, short-term power load forecasting research has become a key research content in the power field, and many results have been achieved in this regard, providing data support for the formulation of power grid planning schemes.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Other researchers introduced the latest neural network algorithm support vector machine into short-term power load forecasting, and compared its performance with the autoregressive model. The results show that the support vector machine is better than the autoregressive model that uses the same data to build and test the two models based on the root mean square error between the actual data and the predicted data [8]. At present, short-term power load forecasting research has become a key research content in the power field, and many results have been achieved in this regard, providing data support for the formulation of power grid planning schemes.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Furthermore, data processing and data storage of each piece of the dataset are required because the resolution of time-series data is different. Therefore, recent research trends use the technique of feature selection [14,15] or decomposing the load profile to extract the characteristics of the load using signal processing theory [16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%