Multidimensional analysis and forecasting the relationship between indicators of industrial-technological development and the level of economic security

Abstract

A theoretical-applied model has been built for analyzing industrial-technological development directly within the system of economic security. A system of indicators has been constructed that are mutually agreed in the context of the analysis of the state of economic security and components of industrial-technological development (investment, international, environmental, educational, scientific, industrial, innovative, technological). Based on the system of indicators, analysis of variance in the industrial-technological development and level of economic security was carried out. The levels of correlation of indicators (high, medium, low) have been determined, based on which the interrelations of industrial-technological development and economic security were systematized. A graphic-analytical and regression procedure was used to define the correlation dependence of industrial-technological development on economic security. The industrial-technological development has been forecasted in terms of the indicators with high correlation (the level of investment, openness of the economy, export of high-tech products, industrial products index) and medium correlation (the share of renewable energy consumption, the level of expenditures on education to GDP, the share of specialists performing scientific and technical work). The system of indicators of economic security assessment has been expanded in terms of its individual components (investment-innovative, foreign economic, energy, social, macroeconomic security), taking into consideration aspects in the industrial-technological development. Using the reported analytical and predictive results makes it possible to establish groups of factors that influence the industrial-technological development and economic security. In this way, it becomes possible to identify those tools and means whose application could ensure an increase in the level of industrial-technological development and economic security

Economic growth of Ukrainian regions and determinants of financial resilience: Modeling the causal nexus

“…Similar results are obtained in studies of the impact of banking sector development on the economic growth of countries in general. There is a high density of correlation between the efficiency of realization of the banking sector capacity and the level of socio-economic development of EU countries (Rushchyshyn et al, 2021;Storonyanska et al, 2021), as well as a causal relationship between the determinants of financial security and economic growth of territories (Lupak et al, 2021;Vasyltsiv et al, 2023).…”

“…An average 10% increase in the level of innovation development in a region leads to a 0.45% increase in GDP per capita. On the other hand, studies on the impact of R&D expenditures in developed countries suggest that R&D investments in the high-tech sector have a relatively higher impact on economic growth in the long run (Falk, 2007;Ilyash et al, 2021).…”

Financial determinants of ensuring the resilience of Ukrainian regions

“…The financial resilience of a region is viewed as its ability to adjust to changes regardless of their nature and to use these events to continue its development (Oprea et al, 2020). In this context, researchers consider regional resilience as a process that includes several phases: resilience (indicates the sensitivity of the region's economy to economic shocks) → recovery (speed and comprehensiveness of the region's recovery) → repositioning (shows the degree of reorientation of production and changes in the structure of employment in the region and the impact of these changes on further economic development) → renewal (the degree of "renewal" of the region's economy) (Martin, 2012;Ilyash et al, 2021).…”

Інновативна Емпірика Каузальності «міграція — Економічна Безпека»

“…However, the adoption of rational management decisions in this area (including considering the mutual effects of migration and security) is based on the necessary regulatory, methodological, and information-analytical support, capable of systema tizing modeling (including the functions of analysis, forecasting, planning, monitoring and control) of connections in the "migration ↔ security" system. Rahman [38] assessed the effect of migration on national income parameters; Berezivskyi [39] analyzed the effect of migration on several characteristics of the internal market, in particular network trade; Ilyash [40] modeled the relations of personnel support of enterprises, industrial and technological development, and economic security of the state. Further development is taken care of, especially in terms of modeling the effect of different types and types of migration on the integral index of economic security in the relevant environment, state, dynamics and structure of migration processes (on the one hand) and the characteristics of the economic security of the state and its components (on the other hand).…”