Multidimensional Determinants of National Food Security in Azerbaijan: an Application of the ARDL Approach

Huseynov, Ragif

doi:10.22630/prs.2019.19.4.56

Cited by 5 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 16 publications

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“…Food inflation (X 3 ) and currency exchange (X 4 ) were used to reveal the influence of changes in access to food and agricultural products on food security. The choice well correlates with the recommendations of Huseynov [53], who used exchange rate, inflation rate, and food trade as variables to identify short-term and long-term effects on food security.…”

Section: Variables and Datamentioning

confidence: 83%

“…To the best of the authors’ knowledge, we have not been able to track previous applications of the ARDL method in studying availability or access-related parameters of food security. However, there are abundant examples of an effective utilization of the ARDL in revealing the interplays between domestic supply and imports [ 53 , 95 ], trade balances [ 53 , 96 , 97 ], inflation [ 98 , 99 ], international currency exchange [ 100 , 101 ], and health [ 102 ].

where Δ = first difference operator;

= constant term;

= short-run elasticities of the variables; i = ARDL model lag order;

= error correction term;

= error disturbance; t = time.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Impacts of COVID-19 on Trade and Economic Aspects of Food Security: Evidence from 45 Developing Countries

Erokhin

Tianming

2020

IJERPH

245

173

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The stability of food supply chains is crucial to the food security of people around the world. Since the beginning of 2020, this stability has been undergoing one of the most vigorous pressure tests ever due to the COVID-19 outbreak. From a mere health issue, the pandemic has turned into an economic threat to food security globally in the forms of lockdowns, economic decline, food trade restrictions, and rising food inflation. It is safe to assume that the novel health crisis has badly struck the least developed and developing economies, where people are particularly vulnerable to hunger and malnutrition. However, due to the recency of the COVID-19 problem, the impacts of macroeconomic fluctuations on food insecurity have remained scantily explored. In this study, the authors attempted to bridge this gap by revealing interactions between the food security status of people and the dynamics of COVID-19 cases, food trade, food inflation, and currency volatilities. The study was performed in the cases of 45 developing economies distributed to three groups by the level of income. The consecutive application of the autoregressive distributed lag method, Yamamoto’s causality test, and variance decomposition analysis allowed the authors to find the food insecurity effects of COVID-19 to be more perceptible in upper-middle-income economies than in the least developed countries. In the latter, food security risks attributed to the emergence of the health crisis were mainly related to economic access to adequate food supply (food inflation), whereas in higher-income developing economies, availability-sided food security risks (food trade restrictions and currency depreciation) were more prevalent. The approach presented in this paper contributes to the establishment of a methodology framework that may equip decision-makers with up-to-date estimations of health crisis effects on economic parameters of food availability and access to staples in food-insecure communities.

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Section: Variables and Datamentioning

confidence: 83%

where Δ = first difference operator;

= constant term;

= short-run elasticities of the variables; i = ARDL model lag order;

= error correction term;

= error disturbance; t = time.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts of COVID-19 on Trade and Economic Aspects of Food Security: Evidence from 45 Developing Countries

Erokhin

Tianming

2020

IJERPH

245

173

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Following Deuss [50], Martin and Anderson [51], and Hendrix [52], among others, we assume that the parameters of food trade must be taken into account when studying poverty and agricultural development across developing countries. The choice of AGRX and AGRM variables well correlates with the recommendations of Huseynov [53], Erokhin and Gao [3], and Puma et al [54], who used food trade as a variable to identify short-term and long-term effects on both the development of domestic agriculture and the reduction of poverty in the economy.…”

Section: Selection Of Variablesmentioning

confidence: 67%

The Impact of Foreign Capital Inflows on Agriculture Development and Poverty Reduction: Panel Data Analysis for Developing Countries

et al. 2021

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Combating poverty through the development of agricultural production and providing rural people with new employment and income opportunities in agriculture has become one of the major concerns of both policymakers and scholars worldwide. In many developing countries, government policies have failed to achieve the desired poverty alleviation goals due to the lack of financial resources. Despite that, few comprehensive studies have so far unambiguously identified the effects of the exogenous factor of capital inflows on the level of poverty and agriculture development. In this paper, the authors attempt to shed light on the poverty–agriculture–capital trilemma pattern by revealing the impacts of six types of foreign capital inflows on the parameters of poverty reduction and agriculture development. The panel unit root test and pool mean group estimation techniques were employed for observing the short-term and long-term linkages between dependent and explanatory variables across fourteen developing economies of Latin America, Asia, and Eastern Europe. It was revealed that poverty reduction could be positively affected by an increase in the values of agricultural exports, foreign direct investment, foreign development assistance, and remittances received from migrant workers. The level of agriculture could be improved by deeper integration of developing economies to global food supply chains as either suppliers or consumers of food and agricultural products.

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“…Additionally, Huseynov (2019) showed a pressing need to improve its institutional framework if the Azerbaijan Government aims for sustainable food security. When promoting the food culture in public, our scientists and specialists should develop a new understanding and approaches to the popularization of problems and knowledge to protect people against starving, underfeeding, food poisonings, diseases and appropriate and safe nutrition.…”

Section: Future Directions and Challenges For Ecological And Microbio...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Open challenges for ecological and microbiological safety of food and raw food materials in Azerbaijan

Yusifova

Nasrullayeva

Omarova

et al. 2021

NFS

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Purpose The provision of safe food is a topic of increasing relevance worldwide. Several countries, including Azerbaijan, attempted to develop scientific, applied, social and economic solutions to the food supply and nutrition problems. However, Azerbaijan still faces important challenges, particularly providing appropriate, eco-friendly and microbiologically safe supplies and food. These issues occur in international export and import of raw food materials and food, provision of regional and municipal control in food supply and sales and teaching food culture to the public. This viewpoint paper aims to examine the challenges that impede the provision of safe food for Azerbaijan. Such information can facilitate policy implications for governments in developing solutions to the food supply. Design/methodology/approach Extensive literature review is done to base the discussions of this viewpoint paper. Findings Academic institutions and departments should take a more centralized and effective effort in scientific research concerning safety, hygiene and culture of nutrition. In conclusion, to ensure proper sustainment, it is necessary to provide strict microbiological, sanitary and hygienic control across the network of production and distribution of food and its import and export within regional and local food source provision systems and mechanisms. Originality/value To the authors’ best knowledge, there is no systematic study evaluating the challenges of ecologically and microbiological safety for food in Azerbaijan.

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Multidimensional Determinants of National Food Security in Azerbaijan: an Application of the ARDL Approach

Cited by 5 publications

References 16 publications

Impacts of COVID-19 on Trade and Economic Aspects of Food Security: Evidence from 45 Developing Countries

Impacts of COVID-19 on Trade and Economic Aspects of Food Security: Evidence from 45 Developing Countries

The Impact of Foreign Capital Inflows on Agriculture Development and Poverty Reduction: Panel Data Analysis for Developing Countries

Open challenges for ecological and microbiological safety of food and raw food materials in Azerbaijan

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