Multiple pasts, converging presents, and alternative futures

List, Dennis H.

doi:10.1016/s0016-3287(03)00140-x

Cited by 32 publications

(30 citation statements)

References 11 publications

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“…Futures research has been described as having particular value in encouraging people to develop their systems thinking abilities (Kohtala, 2008) and to improve understanding of networks (List, 2004). According to Benckendorff (2007) these features make futures methods particularly appropriate to research into sustainability.…”

Section: Futures Wheels and Backcastingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…• the encouragement of systems thinking among the participants in the exercise (Benckendorff, 2007;List, 2004).…”

Section: Futures Wheels and Backcastingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…According to List (2004) (Andersen, 2001). That is, the objective is for the image of the future to empower and guide actions in the present.…”

Section: Futures Wheels and Backcastingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This combination of the two techniques involves a process of conducting a futures wheel in reverse (List, 2004). The central hub of the wheel is the desired or ideal end state or future and the first ring of the wheel contains the actions that must happen immediately before in order to reach that desired end state.…”

Section: Futures Wheels and Backcastingmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 3 more Smart Citations

Exploring the Future of Tourism and Quality of Life

Benckendorff¹,

Edwards²,

Jurowski³

et al. 2009

Tourism and Hospitality Research

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Section: Futures Wheels and Backcastingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…• the encouragement of systems thinking among the participants in the exercise (Benckendorff, 2007;List, 2004).…”

Section: Futures Wheels and Backcastingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…According to List (2004) (Andersen, 2001). That is, the objective is for the image of the future to empower and guide actions in the present.…”

Section: Futures Wheels and Backcastingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Futures Wheels and Backcastingmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Exploring the Future of Tourism and Quality of Life

Benckendorff¹,

Edwards²,

Jurowski³

et al. 2009

Tourism and Hospitality Research

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show abstract

“…For example, List [16] introduced a network scenario planning project to democratize public radio in Indonesia. A scenario network was created in workshops using modified version of the Futures Wheel.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Finnish social and health care professionals’ perspective of the future

Hopia

Hakala

2015

IJH

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The aim of the study is to describe the perceptions on the future of professionals in the social services and healthcare sector in Finland. The study examines on what the sector will be like, what kind of competence will be required and how this will be obtained in 2025 and onwards. The sector will encounter major changes over the next decade and therefore more research is needed to identify how professionals view the future of their work. Eighty-three students (n = 83) studying for a master's degree in social services and healthcare participated in the study. The data was collected by means of the Futures Wheel method in 2014. The respondents generated a total of 424 statements that were analyzed with the thematic analysis method. The results showed that in the future the ageing population will form a new type of client group, and individual services will be offered equally to everyone. Technological solutions will be in active use within the social services and healthcare sector. A strong ability to change, adapt, and quickly reform the methods of working will be required in the future. Furthermore, professionals will increasingly be independently responsible for acquiring competence in the future. In result, the competence-related educational programmes will be more tailored to match the needs of working world. The results identified in the study should be taken into consideration when developing practices and reforming curriculums in healthcare and social services. Professionals should be able to predict the future of their sector, the choices and decisions affecting the future are being made now.

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MAMMUT – managing the metabolism of urbanization: testing theory through a pilot study of the Stockholm Underground

Svane¹,

Weingaertner²

2006

Sust. Dev.

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The research project MAMMUT explores synergies between the processes of urbanization and sustainable development. In a pilot study, we tested the assumption that the concept of situations of opportunity can define the project's unit of analysis. We applied MAMMUT's conceptual framework to the Stockholm Underground, identified that situation's formative moment (1941, when main decisions were taken) and analysed its prehistory and factual outcome. To illustrate its field of options, a counterfactual highway and roads scenario was developed. For outcome and scenario, we outlined the resulting urban structure, the institutions of development and operation and the households' ways of life, and assessed environmental impacts. The situation concept was found to be useful for identifying and analysing synergies between urbanization and sustainable development. It needs to be further developed to study the relationships between its four disciplinary aspects. Applying it to futurological studies calls for methodological development including scenario techniques and backcasting.

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Multiple pasts, converging presents, and alternative futures

Cited by 32 publications

References 11 publications

Exploring the Future of Tourism and Quality of Life

Exploring the Future of Tourism and Quality of Life

Finnish social and health care professionals’ perspective of the future

MAMMUT – managing the metabolism of urbanization: testing theory through a pilot study of the Stockholm Underground

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