Network Attack and Defense Modeling and System Security Analysis: A Novel Approach Using Stochastic Evolutionary Game Petri Net

Abstract

At present, most network security analysis theory assumes that the players are completely rational. However, this is not consistent with the actual situation. In this paper, based on the effectiveness constraints on both sides with network attack and defense, with the help of stochastic Petri net and evolutionary game theory, the Petri net model of network attack and defense stochastic evolutionary game is reconstructed, the specific definition of the model is given, and the modeling method is given through the network connection relationship and attack and defense strategy set. Using this model, a quantitative analysis of network attack events is carried out to solve a series of indicators related to system security, namely, attack success rate, average attack time, and average system repair time. Finally, the proposed model and analysis method are applied to a classic network attack and defense process for experimental analysis, and the results verify the rationality and accuracy of the model and analysis method.