New Estimates and Projections of Population Growth in Pakistan

Feeney, Griffith; Alam, Iqbal

doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2003.00483.x

Cited by 20 publications

(18 citation statements)

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“…Our data demonstrate the potential for change created by higher levels of schooling, vocational training, or formal-sector jobs. As Pakistan's demographic transition continues (Feeney and Alam 2003;Sathar and Casterline 1998), family sizes become smaller, and women's time becomes more flexible, greater educational and labor force opportunities should become available for young women. NOTES 1 For particular historical reasons in the United States, these results could be explained by changes in the timing of military service.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Growing up in Pakistan: The separate experiences of males and females

Lloyd¹,

Grant²

2004

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This paper examines gender differences in transitions to adulthood in Pakistan. The analysis is based on data from the 2001-02 Adolescent and Youth Survey of Pakistan (AYSP), a nationally representative survey of young people aged 15-24 undertaken by the Population Council's Islamabad office. The survey covers key aspects of adolescents' lives, including the timing of several adult transitions and a detailed accounting of time use over the previous 24 hours. The results of the analysis confirm the fundamental importance of schooling to transitions to adulthood. Those without any schooling, which still include 15 percent of young men and 46 percent of young women, assume the work burdens of adults prematurely and are deprived of the opportunity for learning in an institutional setting outside the family. Those who do attend school eventually take up gender-stereotyped roles; however, they do so with some delay, allowing them to experience a longer transition to adulthood. For both males and females, there appears to be a large lag in years between the assumption of adult work roles, whether in the domestic setting or in the labor market, and the assumption of adult family roles as marked by the timing of first marriage. Recent further delays in the timing of first marriage for young women have been accompanied by a rise in the percent working for pay during the later adolescent years; a similar trend is not apparent for young men. A multivariate analysis of some of the factors associated with variations in daily work hours among young people demonstrates the potential for change created by opportunities for higher levels of schooling, vocational training, and formal-sector jobs. The nature of current opportunities available to young people, however, appears to reinforce traditional gender role stereotypes.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Growing up in Pakistan: The separate experiences of males and females

Lloyd¹,

Grant²

2004

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“…Pakistan was among the last nations in Asia to experience a substantial and sustained decline in fertility. Recently, however, the total fertility rate has decreased by about 2.5 births per woman in a period of less than two decades, a relatively rapid and unambiguous decline (Feeney and Alam 2003). This large decline is the result of an increased desire on the part of Pakistani couples to space and limit their number of births and of an increase in the practice of contraception.…”

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confidence: 99%

Estimating the Incidence of Abortion in Pakistan

Sathar¹,

Singh

Fikree

2007

Studies in Family Planning

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This study applies an indirect estimation method to develop comprehensive national and provincial estimates of the prevalence of abortion and abortion-related morbidity in Pakistan. Data from a health facilities survey and a health professionals survey from 2002 are analyzed to develop estimates of postabortion hospitalizations and of the abortion rate, abortion ratio, and unwanted pregnancy rate. We estimate that 890,000 induced abortions are performed annually in Pakistan, and estimate an annual abortion rate of 29 per 1,000 women aged 15-49. The abortion rate is found to be higher in provinces where contraceptive use is lower and where unwanted childbearing is higher. The unwanted pregnancy rate is estimated at 77 per 1,000 women, or about 37 percent of all pregnancies. Abortions account for termination of one in seven pregnancies. An estimated 197,000 women are treated annually in public hospitals and private teaching hospitals for induced abortion complications, a number equivalent to an annual rate of 6.4 women hospitalized as a result of unsafe induced abortions per 1,000 women aged 15-49.

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“…Population pressure exacerbates the serious water shortages, lack of employment and chronic malnutrition that exist now; and some forecasts indicate these may become much worse over the century [12,13]. Episodes of internal violence are possible and the tension between Pakistan (where the population is growing even more rapidly than in India) could worsen [14]. Thus, while the steady decline of TFR shown in figure 1 indicates progress, more effort is needed to bring contraception and other services to women who wish to limit their families.…”

Section: India's Futurementioning

confidence: 99%