Northward Shifts of the Distributions of Spanish Reptiles in Association with Climate Change

Moreno‐Rueda, Gregorio; Pleguezuelos, Juan M.; Pizarro, Manuel; Montori, Albert

doi:10.1111/j.1523-1739.2011.01793.x

Cited by 74 publications

(60 citation statements)

References 43 publications

(49 reference statements)

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“…1; Table 1). These results agree with those of other studies (Moreno-Rueda et al 2011). Changes in other directions were also detected in our study, and agree with an increasing number of reports have documented other types of range shifts, such as east-west shifts across longitudes or even shifts toward tropical latitudes and lower elevations (Lenoir and Svenning 2015).…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 96%

“…Some studies have found that the effects of previous temperature changes on the distribution of the reptiles are crucial (Moreno-Rueda et al 2011). In our study, shifts in the northern boundaries and distribution center coordinates for the majority of snake species mimicked the trends in C-J and C-W stand for the center longitude and latitude, respectively; S, N, W, and E stand for the southern boundary, northern boundary, western boundary, and eastern boundary, respectively temperature changes, whereas changes in the southern, western, or eastern boundaries of several species also shifted with increases in temperature-based factors.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The accuracy of the prediction, however, will depend on crucial climatic factors that influence the changes in distribution of snake species and on the relationships between the changes in species distribution and climate change over the past years. Although a few studies have detected changes in the distribution of snakes and attributed these changes over the past few years (Araújo et al 2006;Reading et al 2010;Moreno-Rueda et al 2011), they suggested that the relationships between these changes and climate change have been variable. For example, Moreno-Rueda et al (2011) found that the latitudinal distributions of reptiles in Spain may be changing in response to climate change, whereas Hickling et al (2006) found that the distribution limits of two reptiles in the UK were not changing as the temperature increased.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

“…Although a few studies have detected changes in the distribution of snakes and attributed these changes over the past few years (Araújo et al 2006;Reading et al 2010;Moreno-Rueda et al 2011), they suggested that the relationships between these changes and climate change have been variable. For example, Moreno-Rueda et al (2011) found that the latitudinal distributions of reptiles in Spain may be changing in response to climate change, whereas Hickling et al (2006) found that the distribution limits of two reptiles in the UK were not changing as the temperature increased. Additionally, the decline of snake species over 35 years at La Selva, Costa Rica, was not shown to be related to climate change (Whitfield et al 2007).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

See 3 more Smart Citations

Detecting and Attributing the Effects of Climate Change on the Distributions of Snake Species Over the Past 50 Years

2015

Environmental Management

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It is unclear whether the distributions of snakes have changed in association with climate change over the past years. We detected the distribution changes of snakes over the past 50 years and determined whether the changes could be attributed to recent climate change in China. Long-term records of the distribution of nine snake species in China, grey relationship analysis, fuzzy sets classification techniques, the consistency index, and attributed methods were used. Over the past 50 years, the distributions of snake species have changed in multiple directions, primarily shifting northwards, and most of the changes were related to the thermal index. Driven by climatic factors over the past 50 years, the distribution boundary and distribution centers of some species changed with the fluctuations. The observed and predicted changes in distribution were highly consistent for some snake species. The changes in the northern limits of distributions of nearly half of the species, as well as the southern and eastern limits, and the distribution centers of some snake species can be attributed to climate change.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 96%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 97%

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Detecting and Attributing the Effects of Climate Change on the Distributions of Snake Species Over the Past 50 Years

2015

Environmental Management

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“…SDMs are essential tools for both predicting the impacts of climatic change on biodiversity, and designing conservation plans and policies which best mitigate the effects of climate change [26]. Recent notable examples are by [19,20,[27][28][29][30][31][32][33]. However, it is recognized that there are significant limitations in projecting future species distribution using SDMs [34,35].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Expansion of Protected Areas under Climate Change: An Example of Mountainous Tree Species in Taiwan

Lin

Lien

et al. 2014

Forests

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Tree species in mountainous areas are expected to shift their distribution upward in elevation in response to climate change, calling for a potential redesign of existing protected areas. This study aims to predict whether or not the distributions of two high-mountain tree species, Abies (Abies kawakamii) and Tsuga (Tsuga chinensis var. formosana), will significantly shift upward due to temperature change, and whether current protected areas will be suitable for conserving these species. Future temperature change was projected for 15 different future scenarios produced from five global climate models. Shifts in Abies and Tsuga distributions were then predicted through the use of species distribution models (SDMs) which included occurrence data of Abies and Tsuga, as well as seasonal temperature, and elevation. The 25 km × 25 km downscaled General Circulation Model (GCMs) data for 2020-2039 produced by the Taiwan Climate Change Projection and Information Platform OPEN ACCESSForests 2014, 5 2883 was adopted in this study. Habitat suitability in the study area was calculated using maximum entropy model under different climatic scenarios. A bootstrap method was applied to assess the parameter uncertainty of the maximum entropy model. In comparison to the baseline projection, we found that there are significant differences in suitable habitat distributions for Abies and Tsuga under seven of the 15 scenarios. The results suggest that mountainous ecosystems will be substantially impacted by climate change. We also found that the uncertainty originating from GCMs and the parameters of the SDM contribute most to the overall level of variability in species distributions. Finally, based on the uncertainty analysis and the shift in habitat suitability, we applied systematic conservation planning approaches to identify suitable areas to add to Taiwan's protected area network.

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Climate Futures for Lizards and Snakes in Western North America May Result in New Species Management Issues

Pilliod,

Jeffries,

Arkle

et al. 2024

Ecology and Evolution

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We assessed changes in fundamental climate‐niche space for lizard and snake species in western North America under modeled climate scenarios to inform natural resource managers of possible shifts in species distributions. We generated eight distribution models for each of 130 snake and lizard species in western North America under six time‐by‐climate scenarios. We combined the highest‐performing models per species into a single ensemble model for each scenario. Maps were generated from the ensemble models to depict climate‐niche space for each species and scenario. Patterns of species richness based on climate suitability and niche shifts were calculated from the projections at the scale of the entire study area and individual states and provinces, from Canada to Mexico. Squamate species' climate‐niche space for the recent‐time climate scenario and published known ranges were highly correlated (r = 0.81). Overall, reptile climate‐niche space was projected to move northward in the future. Sixty‐eight percent of species were projected to expand their current climate‐niche space rather than to shift, contract, or remain stable. Only 8.5% of species were projected to lose climate‐niche space in the future, and these species primarily occurred in Mexico and the southwestern U.S. We found few species were projected to lose all suitable climate‐niche space at the state or province level, although species were often predicted to occupy novel areas, such as at higher elevations. Most squamate species were projected to increase their climate‐niche space in future climate scenarios. As climate niches move northward, species are predicted to cross administrative borders, resulting in novel conservation issues for local landowners and natural resource agencies. However, information on species dispersal abilities, landscape connectivity, biophysical tolerances, and habitat suitability is needed to contextualize predictions relative to realized future niche expansions.

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Northward Shifts of the Distributions of Spanish Reptiles in Association with Climate Change

Cited by 74 publications

References 43 publications

Detecting and Attributing the Effects of Climate Change on the Distributions of Snake Species Over the Past 50 Years

Detecting and Attributing the Effects of Climate Change on the Distributions of Snake Species Over the Past 50 Years

Expansion of Protected Areas under Climate Change: An Example of Mountainous Tree Species in Taiwan

Climate Futures for Lizards and Snakes in Western North America May Result in New Species Management Issues

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