Notice of Retraction: The analysis of the South-North Water Diversion Project's social risk based on risk conduction mechanism

Qu, Yufei; Wang, Huimin

doi:10.1109/icebeg.2011.5882039

Cited by 1 publication

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“…He pointed out that the social expansion of risk includes two mechanisms: the mechanism responsible for the propagation of information about risks and the social-response mechanism involved in the uptake of that information [18]. Qu expounded the risk propagation or conduction mechanism systematically, and considered that the risk source, risk characteristics, risk carrier, and risk conduction path are the essential factors bearing on risk conduction [35].…”

Section: The Social Risk Of Mega Projectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Social Risk of High-Speed Rail Projects in China: A Bayesian Network Analysis

Xue

Pan

2020

Sustainability

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In China, high-speed rail projects have brought huge social and economic benefits to the affected regions after they are completed. However, the potential externalities of such projects cause competition for the station during the project planning phase, thus triggering social risks. This paper studies the mechanisms responsible for generating the social risk associated with such high-speed rail projects. Employing typical case studies, a social risk list for a given project is established. Based on the risk list, a Bayesian network model is developed and verified through case studies, expert interviews, and expert grading. Using the model's functions of reverse inference and sensitivity analysis, the key risk factors, sensitive risk factors, and maximum causal chain are identified. Countermeasures are then proposed to mitigate the social risk, such as increasing the transparency of and democratizing the planning process for high-speed rail projects, improving the mechanism by which local governments can express interest in such projects, and enhancing emergency management mechanisms. The findings provide points of reference for social risk management when it comes to planning high-speed rail projects and, more generally, offer significant guidance for socially sustainable decision-making processes for mega projects with massive externalities.

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Section: The Social Risk Of Mega Projectsmentioning

confidence: 99%