Number Preferences in Lotteries

Wang, Tong V.; Loon, Rogjer J.D. Potter van; Assem, Martijn J. van den; Dolder, Dennie van

doi:10.2139/ssrn.2657776

Cited by 3 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 104 publications

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“…Couples who were interviewed in the press clippings consistently described these dates as being particularly memorable. Experimental evidence shows that the use of specially assigned numbers or numbers derived from numerology increases bettors' enjoyment of and sense of control over gambling tasks (Goodman and Irwin 2006), and lottery players often gravitate to visually and arithmetically patterned number combinations (Potter van Loon, et al 2016). The popularity of special dates gives further revealed-preference evidence of their desirability.…”

Section: What's In a Date?mentioning

confidence: 99%

Not Your Lucky Day: Romantically and Numerically Special Wedding Date Divorce Risks

Kabátek

Ribar

2016

SSRN Journal

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Characteristics of couples on or about their wedding day and characteristics of weddings have been shown to predict marital outcomes. Little is known, however, about how the dates of the weddings predict marriage durability. Using Dutch marriage and divorce registries from 1999-2013, this study compares the durations of marriages that began on Valentine's Day and numerically special days (dates with the same or sequential number values, e.g., 9.9.99, 1.2.03) with marriages on other dates. In the Netherlands, the incidence of weddings was 137-509% higher on special dates than ordinary dates, on an adjusted basis, and the hazard odds of divorce for special-date marriages were 18-36% higher. Sorting on couples' observable characteristics accounts for part of this increase, but even after controlling for these characteristics, special-date marriages were more vulnerable, with 11-18% higher divorce odds compared to ordinary dates. This relation is even stronger for couples who have not married before.

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Section: What's In a Date?mentioning

confidence: 99%

Not Your Lucky Day: Romantically and Numerically Special Wedding Date Divorce Risks

Kabátek

Ribar

2016

SSRN Journal

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Couples who were interviewed in the press clippings consistently described these dates as being particularly memorable. Experimental evidence shows that the use of specially assigned numbers or numbers derived from numerology increases bettors' enjoyment of and sense of control over gambling tasks (Goodman and Irwin 2006), and lottery players often gravitate to visually and arithmetically patterned number combinations (Potter van Loon, et al 2016). The popularity 3 of special dates gives further revealed-preference evidence of their desirability.…”

Section: "The Easiest Day For My Poor Memory To Remember Was 9-9-09 mentioning

confidence: 99%

Not Your Lucky Day: Romantically and Numerically Special Wedding Date Divorce Risks

Kabátek

Ribar

2016

SSRN Journal

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What a difference a day makes! Using data from government registries on all the weddings that occurred in the Netherlands from 1999-2013, we find that weddings that occurred on Valentine's Day, dates with the same numbers for the day, month and year like 9 September 1999 (9.9.99), and dates with numbers for the day, month, and year in an ascending sequence like 1 February 2003 (1.2.03) were both exceptionally popular and also much more likely to end in divorce compared to weddings that occurred on ordinary dates.How popular? There were nearly three times as many weddings in the Netherlands on a given Valentine's Day than on other comparable days in February, and there were six times as many weddings on a given same-number day as on a comparable ordinary day.However, the special-day marriages proved to be fragile. By what would have been their ninth anniversaries, 21 percent of Valentine's Day marriages and 19 percent of same-number-date marriages were estimated to fail, but only 16 percent of ordinary-date marriages were estimated to fail. In relative terms, Valentine's Day marriages were about one-third more likely to fail by their ninth anniversaries and same-number-date marriages, about one-quarter more likely to fail than ordinary-date marriages. We continue to find large differences in divorce risks even after we use statistical methods to account for characteristics that might affect both the choice to marry on a special date and marriage vulnerability.Although an analysis of quirky wedding dates is unusual, our results match predictions from wellknown family-relations theories of how commitments deepen in couple relationships, especially the "sliding vs. deciding" theory. From this theory, "deciding" couples choose to marry because of what they learn about each other and about their compatibility over the course of their relationships. In contrast, "sliding" couples slip into marriage because constraints to exiting the relationship, such as the costs of moving or of separating bank accounts, gradually build and make marriage seem worthwhile, even if the couple is less compatible. The timing of "deciding" couples' marriages will depend on how information about their relationships develop, while the timing of "sliding" couples' marriages may be more influenced by external events, like the opportunity to marry on a romantically or numerically special day. Consistent with this theory, we also find that special-day couples are less alike and less well-matched at the start of their marriages compared to ordinary-day couples.

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The economics of gambling

Wheeler¹

2018

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Number Preferences in Lotteries

Cited by 3 publications

References 104 publications

Not Your Lucky Day: Romantically and Numerically Special Wedding Date Divorce Risks

Not Your Lucky Day: Romantically and Numerically Special Wedding Date Divorce Risks

Not Your Lucky Day: Romantically and Numerically Special Wedding Date Divorce Risks

The economics of gambling

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