O efeito das transferências de renda nos fluxos migratórios entre os municípios brasileiros de 2008 a 2010

Abstract

O efeito das transferências de renda nos fluxos migratórios entre os municípios brasileiros de 2008 a 2010The effect of cash transfers on migration flows between brazilian municipalities from 2008 to 2010 To develop our analysis, the individuals are separated in six per capita family income profiles. In face of the PBF aim, we focus on the first four profiles. Then, some mechanisms that can influence the decision to migrate or to stay in the same municipality are suggested. Each mechanism differs acording to the individual status, of being a beneficiary of the program or not, acording to his income profile, and also acording to the analysed feature of the program being about his own municipality, or of another one, for where he can migrate. Gabriel Lyrio de OliveiraAs robustness, we estimated a Logit model of the individual probability of having migrated, given his caracteristics, among which being beneficiary, and given the characteristics of his origin municipality, among which the PBF management features.The results seem to replicate the main finds of migration literature, and point to the relevance of being concerned with the management of the program and the release of resources, because of its influences on individual location decision.