Old Enemy with a New Face: Re-emerging Monkeypox Disease – An Update

Islam, Md. Aminul; Hemo, Mizbahul K; Chopra, Hitesh; Amin, Mohammad Ruhul; Bhattacharya, Prosun; Dhama, Kuldeep

doi:10.22207/jpam.16.spl1.18

Cited by 12 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 79 publications

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“…The SES model is utilized as a baseline to assess the prediction accuracy of other models in this investigation. All models were used to forecast new DENV cases for 30 days [ 10 , 11 , 12 ].…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Correlation of Dengue and Meteorological Factors in Bangladesh: A Public Health Concern

Islam

Hasan

Tiwari

et al. 2023

IJERPH

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Dengue virus (DENV) is an enveloped, single-stranded RNA virus, a member of the Flaviviridae family (which causes Dengue fever), and an arthropod-transmitted human viral infection. Bangladesh is well known for having some of Asia’s most vulnerable Dengue outbreaks, with climate change, its location, and it’s dense population serving as the main contributors. For speculation about DENV outbreak characteristics, it is crucial to determine how meteorological factors correlate with the number of cases. This study used five time series models to observe the trend and forecast Dengue cases. Current data-based research has also applied four statistical models to test the relationship between Dengue-positive cases and meteorological parameters. Datasets were used from NASA for meteorological parameters, and daily DENV cases were obtained from the Directorate General of Health Service (DGHS) open-access websites. During the study period, the mean of DENV cases was 882.26 ± 3993.18, ranging between a minimum of 0 to a maximum of 52,636 daily confirmed cases. The Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient between climatic variables and Dengue incidence indicated that no substantial relationship exists between daily Dengue cases and wind speed, temperature, and surface pressure (Spearman’s rho; r = −0.007, p > 0.05; r = 0.085, p > 0.05; and r = −0.086, p > 0.05, respectively). Still, a significant relationship exists between daily Dengue cases and dew point, relative humidity, and rainfall (r = 0.158, p < 0.05; r = 0.175, p < 0.05; and r = 0.138, p < 0.05, respectively). Using the ARIMAX and GA models, the relationship for Dengue cases with wind speed is −666.50 [95% CI: −1711.86 to 378.86] and −953.05 [−2403.46 to 497.36], respectively. A similar negative relation between Dengue cases and wind speed was also determined in the GLM model (IRR = 0.98). Dew point and surface pressure also represented a negative correlation in both ARIMAX and GA models, respectively, but the GLM model showed a positive association. Additionally, temperature and relative humidity showed a positive correlation with Dengue cases (105.71 and 57.39, respectively, in the ARIMAX, 633.86, and 200.03 in the GA model). In contrast, both temperature and relative humidity showed negative relation with Dengue cases in the GLM model. In the Poisson regression model, windspeed has a substantial significant negative connection with Dengue cases in all seasons. Temperature and rainfall are significantly and positively associated with Dengue cases in all seasons. The association between meteorological factors and recent outbreak data is the first study where we are aware of the use of maximum time series models in Bangladesh. Taking comprehensive measures against DENV outbreaks in the future can be possible through these findings, which can help fellow researchers and policymakers.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Correlation of Dengue and Meteorological Factors in Bangladesh: A Public Health Concern

Islam

Hasan

Tiwari

et al. 2023

IJERPH

Self Cite

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“…This subsection presents potential research gaps that could provide a route to prospective areas for upcoming studies (Islam et al, 2022a;Islam et al, 2022b;Islam et al, 2022c;Islam et al, 2022d). However, a long-term view is necessary since the environment's response time is much longer than that of the COVID-19 pandemic.…”

Section: The Scope For Further Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Disinfectants are essential to protect and control infectious diseases (Islam et al, 2022c;Islam et al, 2022e;Islam et al, 2023). However, the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in the use of disinfectants, which caused many issues in the environmental ecosystem.…”

Section: The Scope For Further Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

A sustainable trend in COVID-19 research: An environmental perspective

Vadiati

Ghasemi²,

Samani³

et al. 2023

Front. Environ. Sci.

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Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread across the globe producing hundreds of thousands of deaths, shutting down economies, closing borders and causing havoc on an unprecedented scale. Its potent effects have earned the attention of researchers in different fields worldwide. Among them, authors from different countries have published numerous research articles based on the environmental concepts of COVID-19. The environment is considered an essential receptor in the COVID-19 pandemic, and it is academically significant to look into publications to follow the pathway of hot topics of research and upcoming trends in studies. Reviewing the literature can therefore provide valuable information regarding the strengths and weaknesses in facing the COVID-19 pandemic, considering the environmental viewpoint. The present study categorizes the understanding caused by environmental and COVID-19-related published papers in the Scopus metadata from 2020 to 2021. VOSviewer is a promising bibliometric tool used to analyze the publications with keywords “COVID-19*” and “Environment.” Then, a narrative evaluation is utilized to delineate the most interesting research topics. Co-occurrence analysis is applied in this research, which further characterizes different thematic clusters. The published literature mainly focused on four central cluster environmental concepts: air pollution, epidemiology and virus transmission, water and wastewater, and environmental policy. It also reveals that environmental policy has gained worldwide interest, with the main keyword “management” and includes keywords like waste management, sustainability, governance, ecosystem, and climate change. Although these keywords could also appear in other environmental policy-related research studies, the importance of the COVID-19 pandemic requires such comprehensive research. The fourth cluster involves governance and management concerns encountered during the pandemic. Mapping the research topics in different clusters will pave the way for researchers to view future potential ideas and studies better. The scope for further research needs from the perspective of environmental concepts is reviewed and recommended, which can expand the vital role and value of environmental sciences in alerting, observing, and COVID-19 prediction for all four clusters. In other words, the research trend would shift from qualitative studies and perspectives to quantitative ones.

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“…Monkeypox (Mpox) is a zoonotic virus of the Poxviridae family that belongs to the Orthopoxviral genus [1] . It is a linear doublestranded DNA virus with a brick shape that invades host cells by fusing with them, replicating inside, and releasing infectious forms.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

First case of monkeypox in Pakistan: WHO’s response and steps to prevent an outbreak

Rauf,

Aftab,

Hussain

et al. 2023

International Journal of Surgery: Global Health

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Old Enemy with a New Face: Re-emerging Monkeypox Disease – An Update

Cited by 12 publications

References 79 publications

Correlation of Dengue and Meteorological Factors in Bangladesh: A Public Health Concern

Correlation of Dengue and Meteorological Factors in Bangladesh: A Public Health Concern

A sustainable trend in COVID-19 research: An environmental perspective

First case of monkeypox in Pakistan: WHO’s response and steps to prevent an outbreak

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