2020
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15137
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On the relative role of climate change and management in the current desert locust outbreak in East Africa

Abstract: While large‐scale monitoring, early detection and control can greatly reduce desert locust invasions, global change is most likely to affect conditions that promote the transition from solitary to gregarious populations. Although climate change scenarios point to an increase in aridity and further desertification in vast areas of Africa, some regions that have been at the origin of past outbreaks are likely to see a reversed trend (i.e., increase in frequency and intensity of rains), potentially favoring the f… Show more

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Cited by 66 publications
(53 citation statements)
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“…While SSA countries have very high potential for maize and rice production (Fig. 2), the impacts of climate change [44][45][46] and recent locust invasion 47,48 coupled with COVID-19 movement restrictions are likely to reduce the production potential 49 . Fig.…”
Section: Environmental and Pest Challenges Overlapped The Movement Rementioning
confidence: 99%
“…While SSA countries have very high potential for maize and rice production (Fig. 2), the impacts of climate change [44][45][46] and recent locust invasion 47,48 coupled with COVID-19 movement restrictions are likely to reduce the production potential 49 . Fig.…”
Section: Environmental and Pest Challenges Overlapped The Movement Rementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Similarly, effective early intervention in Iran would have spared Pakistan and India. The episode illustrates how a chain of worsening desert locust population events resulted because of unpreparedness and insecurity in a few countries [109]. The episode also demonstrates that proactive interventions, which occurred in many of the afflicted countries, impeded significant spread beyond their borders [72,73,[92][93][94][95][96][97][98][99][100][101][102][103][104][105][106][107].…”
Section: Conclusion: New Upsurgementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Human activities in turn affect the propensity of locusts to swarm through factors such as land use (e.g. agriculture, wood extraction, urbanization), political relations between affected countries and the effects of climate change (FAO Locust Watch, http://www.fao.org/ag/locusts/en/info/info/index.html ; Cullen et al , 2017 ; Meynard et al , 2020 ).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%