On the Uses of Computer-Assisted Simulation Modeling in the Social                     Sciences

Hanneman, Robert; Patrick, Steven

doi:10.5153/sro.108

Cited by 29 publications

(22 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…This is a rather under-utilized technique in social science research (Hanneman and Patrick 1997); it is more frequently used by researchers in the disciplines of engineering and operations research (e.g., Cao et al 2000;Zulch et al 2001). These types of models are also used extensively by traffic planners (e.g., Plous 2000;Pursula 1999).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Using simulation modeling to evaluate sentencing reform in California: choosing the future

Auerhahn

2008

J Exp Criminol

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Criminal sentencing reforms that have as their ostensible goal the protection of the public through the mechanism of selective incapacitation have proliferated in recent years. The most prominent of these types of reforms are the "Three Strikes" laws. Because these changes to sentencing policy work by extending the term of incarceration for affected offenders, rather than by changing the rate of incarceration, many years must pass before the effects of these kinds of changes can be measured and evaluated by conventional statistical methods. Data-validated dynamic systems simulation modeling offers the analyst an opportunity to evaluate prospectively the effects of such changes on prison populations. In addition to providing descriptive and evaluative information about the likely consequences of these reforms to the compositional dynamics of prison populations, dynamic systems simulation modeling also affords the analyst the opportunity to experiment upon the system to examine prospectively the likely effects of policy changes. In this paper, simulation models of the California criminal justice system are created and validated with historical data in order to provide a plausible baseline upon which to base future projections. Different policy scenarios are simulated to the year 2030 to assess experimentally the likely consequences to prison populations and to evaluate how well these policies target the "dangerous offenders" proponents that these policies promise to remove from society via incarceration.We need to move away from the fragmentary studies of individual agencies and toward more comprehensive assessment of how... justice agencies influence one another and together influence crime. Decisions made in one justice agency have dramatic workload and cost implications for other justice agencies and for later decisions... To date, these systemic effects have not been well studied, and J Exp Criminol (

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Using simulation modeling to evaluate sentencing reform in California: choosing the future

Auerhahn

2008

J Exp Criminol

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“…This is a rather underutilized technique in social science research (Hanneman & Patrick, 1997); it is more frequently used by researchers in the disciplines of engineering (e.g., Cao, Bennett, & Zhang, 2000) and operations research (e.g., Zulch, Rinn, & Strate, 2001). These types of models are also used extensively by traffic planners (e.g., Plous, 2000;Pursula, 1999).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Do You Know Who Your Probationers Are? Using Simulation Modeling to Estimate the Composition of California’s Felony Probation Population, 1980–2000

Auerhahn¹

2007

Justice Quarterly

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“…Segundo Hanneman (1997) as redes revelam estruturas sociais (padrões de interação) que podem evoluir de forma não-linear e, portanto, produzir consequências imprevistas sobre determinado contexto. O importante é que essa ação emergente tem implicações nas dimensões macro e micro, e a compreensão desse processo nos aproxima muito mais da realidade cotidiana.…”

Section: Maria Teresa Miceli Kerbauy • Raiane Patrícia Severino Assumunclassified

<b>Redes sociais e capital político: uma proposta téorico-metodológica para análise das organizações partidárias brasileiras</b> <br>doi:10.5007/2175-7984.2011v10n18p301

Kerbauy

Assumpção

2011

Polit. Soc.

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ResumoAs questões que motivaram o desenvolvimento deste trabalho foram decorrentes do debate permanente acerca do significado dos partidos políticos na atualidade. Partiu-se da hipótese de que a dinâmica organizacional do partido político poderia ser explicada por meio da análise das relações entre os seus filiados, substancialmente dos vínculos estabelecidos com os líderes partidários, com vistas a atenderem os objetivos políticos dos respectivos atores e, ao mesmo tempo, do partido. Assim, foi adotada uma abordagem e uma metodologia de análise que compreende a dinâmica organizacional a partir do capital político que circula no interior do partido, considerando os elementos orientadores das estratégias políticas: as relações entre os atores políticos, os aspectos institucionais e os resultados eleitorais. Para demonstrar o potencial teórico-metodológico da análise de redes sociais na compreensão do capital político, intra-organizacional, dos partidos políticos brasileiros, o texto apresenta resultados referentes a um estudo de caso: o Partido da Social Democracia Brasileria no estado de São Paulo (PSDB-SP), período entre 1988 e 2006. Palavras-chave: redes sociais, partido político, capital político, estratégias político-eleitorais.

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On the Uses of Computer-Assisted Simulation Modeling in the Social Sciences

Cited by 29 publications

References 6 publications

Using simulation modeling to evaluate sentencing reform in California: choosing the future

Using simulation modeling to evaluate sentencing reform in California: choosing the future

Do You Know Who Your Probationers Are? Using Simulation Modeling to Estimate the Composition of California’s Felony Probation Population, 1980–2000

<b>Redes sociais e capital político: uma proposta téorico-metodológica para análise das organizações partidárias brasileiras</b> <br>doi:10.5007/2175-7984.2011v10n18p301

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