2008
DOI: 10.1007/s11292-008-9056-2
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Using simulation modeling to evaluate sentencing reform in California: choosing the future

Abstract: Criminal sentencing reforms that have as their ostensible goal the protection of the public through the mechanism of selective incapacitation have proliferated in recent years. The most prominent of these types of reforms are the "Three Strikes" laws. Because these changes to sentencing policy work by extending the term of incarceration for affected offenders, rather than by changing the rate of incarceration, many years must pass before the effects of these kinds of changes can be measured and evaluated by co… Show more

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Cited by 12 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…For example, in order to test hypotheses based on the routine activities theory, Groff (2007aGroff ( , 2007b experimentally changed the amount of time spent away from home in simulation modeling and examined the occurrence of street robbery incidents in Seattle. Third, simulation modeling is flexible enough to accommodate a wide range of criminological topics and research questions, including the criminal justice system (Alimadad et al 2008, Auerhahn 2008, repeat victimization (Johnson 2008), offender mobility (Brantingham andTita 2008, Hayslett-McCall et al 2008), the diffusion of crime over space and time (Kim 2008), forecasting (Malleson and Brantingham 2009), law enforcement patrol (Szakas et al 2008), and the evaluation of intervention strategies (Dray et al 2008a(Dray et al , 2008b. Furthermore, simulation modeling has been used to study various types of crimes, including burglary (Birks et al 2008, Johnson 2008, Malleson and Brantingham 2009, Birks et al 2012, street robbery (Liu et al 2005, Groff 2007a, 2007b, drug offense (Dray et al 2008a, 2008b, Hoffer et al 2009), vehiclerelated crimes , Wei 2008, and white-collar crime (Kim and Xiao 2008).…”
Section: Literature Review Of Agent-based Modelingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, in order to test hypotheses based on the routine activities theory, Groff (2007aGroff ( , 2007b experimentally changed the amount of time spent away from home in simulation modeling and examined the occurrence of street robbery incidents in Seattle. Third, simulation modeling is flexible enough to accommodate a wide range of criminological topics and research questions, including the criminal justice system (Alimadad et al 2008, Auerhahn 2008, repeat victimization (Johnson 2008), offender mobility (Brantingham andTita 2008, Hayslett-McCall et al 2008), the diffusion of crime over space and time (Kim 2008), forecasting (Malleson and Brantingham 2009), law enforcement patrol (Szakas et al 2008), and the evaluation of intervention strategies (Dray et al 2008a(Dray et al , 2008b. Furthermore, simulation modeling has been used to study various types of crimes, including burglary (Birks et al 2008, Johnson 2008, Malleson and Brantingham 2009, Birks et al 2012, street robbery (Liu et al 2005, Groff 2007a, 2007b, drug offense (Dray et al 2008a, 2008b, Hoffer et al 2009), vehiclerelated crimes , Wei 2008, and white-collar crime (Kim and Xiao 2008).…”
Section: Literature Review Of Agent-based Modelingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The simulation model allowed for a prospective analysis of the future effects of the legislation. Therefore, when evaluating policy, the simulation model has an advantage for criminologists by looking both retrospectively at the legislation and also formulating future effects and foreseeing the consequences of those outcomes [11]. Another innovative study developed an agent-based model to test the effects of three different police strategies (i.e., random patrol, hot-spot policing, and problemorientated policing) on a street-level drug market.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The literature has recently started to apply dynamic simulation modeling to assess criminal justice policies (Auerhahn, 2008a(Auerhahn, , 2008b and those that target substance-abusing offenders in particular. Auerhahn (2004) developed a dynamic simulation model of the California criminal justice system to assess the impact of a law passed in 2000 that was intended to reduce the at East Carolina University on June 5, 2016 cad.sagepub.com Downloaded from number of drug offenders entering prison.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%