2019
DOI: 10.3390/risks7030071
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On the Validation of Claims with Excess Zeros in Liability Insurance: A Comparative Study

Abstract: In this study, we consider the problem of zero claims in a liability insurance portfolio and compare the predictability of three models. We use French motor third party liability (MTPL) insurance data, which has been used for a pricing game, and show that how the type of coverage and policyholders’ willingness to subscribe to insurance pricing, based on telematics data, affects their driving behaviour and hence their claims. Using our validation set, we then predict the number of zero claims. Our results show … Show more

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Cited by 7 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…Since then, this model has been applied in different settings including insurance pricing. The variation had been applied to insurance data by [7] who studied the classical Poisson and logistic regression and compare the findings with a Zero Inflated Poisson (ZIP) model using insurance data from the French motor third party liability. The result shows that the ZIP outperforms the classical Poisson regression.…”
Section: Original Research Articlementioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Since then, this model has been applied in different settings including insurance pricing. The variation had been applied to insurance data by [7] who studied the classical Poisson and logistic regression and compare the findings with a Zero Inflated Poisson (ZIP) model using insurance data from the French motor third party liability. The result shows that the ZIP outperforms the classical Poisson regression.…”
Section: Original Research Articlementioning
confidence: 99%
“…A very pertinent concept in general insurance pricing involves classification of risks and identification of risk characteristics (like age, duration of policy, gender, type of policy, etc.) of the insured to estimate premium [7]. Since most insurance data have confidentiality issue, it is always difficult to obtain more recent data.…”
Section: Datamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Wang et al (2017) implemented driver identification based on the telematics data and Random forest classification method. Qazvini (2019) compared the performance of a Poisson regression model and a zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) model for the prediction of the claim frequency based on the telematics data that were collected from insured drivers.…”
Section: Introduction and Relevant Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…ML has been used in the insurance industry to analyze insurance claim data [11,12]. Vehicle insurance coverage affects driving behavior and hence insurance claims [13]. These previous works employed ML to analyze data at the end of the insurance pathway, after the event.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%