[1] It is widely believed that during a substorm, plasma instabilities occur before the onset of magnetic reconnection, signaling the end of the growth phase. Despite many years of effort, however, the details of how the instability and the onset of reconnection develop from closed field line configuration with finite normal magnetic field are not well understood. In this paper, we study an idealized simulation of a substorm that occurred on 23 March 2007, based on the Open Geospace General Circulation Model (OpenGGCM). Our analysis emphasizes the time development of the distribution of the entropy parameter and its convective time derivative, which should be zero in ideal MHD. In the late growth phase, the simulation exhibits, over a range of local times, a systematic violation of conservation of entropy that corresponds to what is called "antidiffusion." Out of this background, a more localized disturbance develops in a region of high magnetic stretching, resulting in formation of a strong reduction of entropy (bubble) earthward of a local enhancement (blob). The process is accelerated when the current density exceeds a threshold for triggering an explicit resistivity in the code. The bubble moves earthward and the blob tailward, which leads to a reduction of the normal magnetic field and a thinning of the current sheet between them, making the magnetospheric configuration more conducive to tearing and other instabilities (we do not address specifically which instability has occurred). This positive feedback gives rise to increased violation of the perfect conductivity relation and eventually reconnection.