Background The opening wedge approach to high tibial osteotomy (HTO) is perceived to have some advantages relative to the closing wedge approach but it may be associated with delayed and nonunions. Because nonunions evolve over months, it would be advantageous to be able to identify risk factors for and early predictors of nonunion after medial opening wedge HTO. Questions/purposes We sought to determine whether (1) preoperatively identifiable patient factors, including tobacco use, body mass index [ 30 kg/m 2 , and degree of correction, are associated with nonunion, and (2) a modified Radiographic Union Score for Tibial Fractures (RUST) score, taken at 6 weeks and 3 months, would be predictive for delayed or nonunion after medial opening wedge HTO. Methods The medical records and radiographs of 185 patients, 21 bilateral cases, treated with a medial open wedge HTO using the TomoFix 1 device were retrospectively evaluated. For all patients, demographic data regarding risk factors were collected from their records. Diagnosis for delayed or nonunion was already done earlier for standard medical care by the orthopaedic surgeon based on clinical and radiographic grounds. For the retrospective radiographic evaluation, a modified RUST score was used in which each tibial cortex is scored by one observer. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify preoperative and postoperative predictive factors for developing delayed or nonunion. In the series, a total of 19 patients (9.2%) developed clinically delayed/nonunion of whom 10 patients (4.9%) developed a nonunion. Results Smoking was identified as a risk factor for developing delayed/nonunion (19% for smokers versus 5.4% for nonsmokers; p = 0.005; odds ratio, 4