1989
DOI: 10.1016/0197-2456(89)90015-9
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Optimal two-stage designs for phase II clinical trials

Abstract: The primary objective of a phase II clinical trial of a new drug or regimen is to determine whether it has sufficient biological activity against the disease under study to warrant more extensive development. Such trials are often conducted in a multiinstitution setting where designs of more than two stages are difficult to manage. This paper presents two-stage designs that are optimal in the sense that the expected sample size is minimized if the regimen has low activity subject to constraints upon the size o… Show more

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Cited by 3,345 publications
(2,268 citation statements)
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References 14 publications
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“…An optimal two-stage design was used where the estimated response rate was based upon a low response rate of interest of 10% and a high response rate of interest of 25% (Simon, 1989). The study was calculated to have an a-error of 5% and a b-error of 20%.…”
Section: Statisticsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…An optimal two-stage design was used where the estimated response rate was based upon a low response rate of interest of 10% and a high response rate of interest of 25% (Simon, 1989). The study was calculated to have an a-error of 5% and a b-error of 20%.…”
Section: Statisticsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…25 Using a 10% Type I error and 90% power (targeting a response rate of 40% for untreated patients and 20% for patients with prior therapy), the sample size was 37 for each group. The first step (14 patients) for the untreated group required three responses while the treated group (14 patients) required two patients to respond.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The best overall response was the best response recorded from the start of treatment until disease progression or recurrence, taking as reference for progressive disease the smallest measurements recorded since the treatment started.  Statistical Considerations  The primary objective of the trial was to determine the overall response rate to TPC. A two‐stage Simon design was used with an α error type of 0.1 and β type error of 0.1 [11]. Because there were at least three responses seen in the first 10 patients, additional patients were enrolled until 27 patients who were evaluable for response were treated.…”
Section: Trial Informationmentioning
confidence: 99%