“…How to make a scientific and accurate prediction of the required emergency materials under public emergencies is the first key link of emergency response (Lin et al, 2023), which is mainly categorized into two types of methods: qualitative and quantitative. Qualitative prediction is mainly based on Delphi's method, subjective probability method, combining experts' professional knowledge and subjective experience to estimate the result; common quantitative prediction methods mainly include case-based reasoning method (Platon et al, 2015;Zhang et al, 2022), neural network model (Lin et al, 2022;Yinghui et al, 2022;Zhang & Yang, 2015), gray system (Bo et al, 2015;Geng & Hou, 2021;Zhang et al, 2021;Zhongjun et al, 2019), and so forth, which quantify and predict the research object based on historical data. Focusing on public health emergencies, LIU et al coupled the dynamic demand prediction mechanism of medical resources based on the epidemic spread model with the optimal allocation and transportation mechanism of medical resources based on the multi-stage planning model and put forward a discrete spatio-temporal network model (Liu et al, 2015).…”