Orta Geli̇r Tuzaği: Yapisal Kirilmalar Altinda E7 Ülkeleri̇ İçi̇n Ampi̇ri̇k Bi̇r İnceleme

Tiraşoğlu, Muhammed; Karasaç, Fatih

doi:10.17550/akademikincelemeler.430713

Cited by 9 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…As many previous studies following the similar approach have shown (e.g. Koçak & Bulut 2014;Bozkurt et al, 2014;Keskingöz & Dilek, 2016;Tıraşoğlu & Karasaç 2018;Manga et al, 2019), the unit root findings of the present study also indicate that Turkey is not a MIT country. The stochastic convergence between Turkey and the US is significant and it can be said that the income gap between Turkey and US tends to decrease.…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 87%

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The Middle Income Trap: Theory and Empirical Evidence

Topal¹

2020

BU Journal

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The middle income trap (MIT) is a concept that is often used in the economic development literature but is not defined clearly enough. The purpose of this study is to revise previous discussions on MIT and to make an empirical investigation of the existence of MIT in 44 middle-income countries based on Ye and Robertson's (2016) time series approach. Unlike conventional time series analyses, this study takes into consideration non-linearity in time series and smooth transition of structural breaks. The empirical findings of this study show the following results. There is strong evidence of the existence of MIT in seven countries. The stochastic convergence is valid for twenty one countries, including Turkey. The trend findings of the countries show that the income gap between ten countries and the US is decreasing quite slowly or increasing steadily. These results also indicate that economic and institutional reform requirements maintain their priority in the political agenda in most middle income-especially in Latin American-countries.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 87%

“…(2014), Keskingöz and Dilek (2016), Tıraşoğlu and Karasaç (2018), Manga et al (2019) also empirically indicated that Turkey is not a MIT country. Ayala et al (2013) examined the income convergence of 17 LA countries with US.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Middle Income Trap: Theory and Empirical Evidence

Topal¹

2020

BU Journal

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Testing the Middle Income Trap Hypothesis With the Panel Unit Root

Öztürk

Bayramoğlu

2019

Yönetim Ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi

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Orta Gelir Tuzağının Türkiye Geneli ve Düzey Alt Bölgeleri İçin Tespiti

Ilhan

Akdeni̇z

2020

Optimum Ekonomi Ve Yönetim Bilimleri Dergisi

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ÖZBu çalışmanın amacı, orta gelir tuzağının Türkiye'nin geneli ve düzey alt bölgeleri için var olup olmadığını incelemektedir. Çalışmada ülke geneli için orta gelir tuzağının varlığı Robertson ve Ye'nin (2013) yaklaşımından hareketle geleneksel ve yapısal kırılmaya izin veren birim kök testleri vasıtasıyla analiz edilirken, düzey alt bölgeleri için başta Yakalama Endeksi (Catch-Up Index, CUI) olmak üzere istatistiki sınıflandırmalar kullanılmıştır. 1960-2018 döneminin ele alındığı ekonometrik analiz sonuçlarına göre, Türkiye ekonomisinde orta gelir tuzağı mevcut değildir. Bununla birlikte 2004-2017 dönemindeki CUI değerleri, düzey alt bölgelerinin çok büyük bir kısmının düşük gelir grubunda yer aldıklarını ve orta gelir seviyesine yükselen bazı bölgelerin de son yıllarda konumlarını kaybettiklerini göstermektedir. Bu bağlamda, Türkiye'nin orta gelir tuzağında yer almamasını yüksek gelir grubuna doğru yakınsama ile açıklamanın güçleştiğini ifade etmek mümkündür. ABSTRACTThe aim of this study is to analyse whether there is the middle income trap for general level and sub-regions of Turkey. In this study, the existence of the middle income trap was analysed for the country level through traditional and structural break unit root tests based on Robertson and Ye's (2013) approach, on the other hand the statistical classifications -mainly Catch-Up Index (CUI)-were employed for the sub-regions. According to the results of the econometric analysis discussed in the 1960-2018 period, the middle income trap is not exist for the Turkish economy. However, CUI values for the period 2004-2017 show that a large part of the sub-regions are in the low income group and some of the regions which reached to the middle income level have lost their places in recent years. In this context, it becomes difficult to explain that Turkey's hasn't been stuck in middle income trap with convergence towards to the high income group.Orta gelir tuzağına yakalanmada verimlilik yavaşlamalarının önemine vurgu yapan Agenor ve Canuto (2012), beşeri sermayenin nitelikleri ile ekonomideki sektörleri, temel ve

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Orta Geli̇r Tuzaği: Yapisal Kirilmalar Altinda E7 Ülkeleri̇ İçi̇n Ampi̇ri̇k Bi̇r İnceleme

Cited by 9 publications

References 22 publications

The Middle Income Trap: Theory and Empirical Evidence

The Middle Income Trap: Theory and Empirical Evidence

Testing the Middle Income Trap Hypothesis With the Panel Unit Root

Orta Gelir Tuzağının Türkiye Geneli ve Düzey Alt Bölgeleri İçin Tespiti

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