Outlook for CEEC Agricultural Markets After EU Accession

Erjavec, Emil; Donnellan, Trevor; Kavčič, S.

doi:10.2753/eee0012-8755440104

Cited by 21 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…They projected that EU enlargement will have a negative impact on the international competitiveness of Hungarian agriculture by increasing land and labour prices. Similar estimations were conducted by Erjavec (2006), forecasting that the newly accessed countries will gain from higher prices and budgetary support, indicating real improvements in most agricultural sectors on recent production levels. Ivanova et al (2007) analysed Bulgarian agriculture following EU accession by the AGMEMOD model and found that accession would have a very positive effect on the crop sector in Bulgaria, whereas the effect is the opposite on the livestock sector.…”

Section: Introductionsupporting

confidence: 52%

The impacts of EU accession on the agriculture of the Visegrad Countries

Csáki¹,

Jámbor²

2013

Society and Economy

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Section: Introductionsupporting

confidence: 52%

The impacts of EU accession on the agriculture of the Visegrad Countries

Csáki¹,

Jámbor²

2013

Society and Economy

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“…Partial equilibrium models have been proven as a useful tool for the analysis of price support measures; however, the contribution of the model into the accession impact analysis is showing the direction and relative intensity of the changes (Erjavec et al 2006). The results of the model in absolute values should be taken with caution because of the unpredictability that goes along with the nature of the agriculture itself, coming from its biological character, the dependence on climatic conditions, as well as the uncertainty of the broader economic and political environment.…”

Section: The Implication Of the Model And Its Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…These changes lead to deepening of the import dependence of the country for these products. Models of agricultural sectors of the EU-10 in their pre-accession projections (Erjavec and Donnellan 2005;Erjavec et al 2006) show a strong positive development for the beef markets in the new member states from the Central and Eastern Europe after the accession. A strong positive development relative to the baseline scenario is also expected for the Macedonian beef sector (+24.6% increase in supply in the EU-OPT and 9% increase in supply in the EU-PES).…”

Section: Complete Eu Accession Scenariosmentioning

confidence: 99%

Macedonian livestock, dairy and grain sectors and the EU accession impact

Kotevska¹,

Dimitriveski²,

Erjavec³

2013

AGR ECON-CZECH

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Th e Republic of Macedonia is in the process of integrating into the European Union (EU) and adjusting its policies through reforms in policy, regulations and institutions. Th is paper attempts to provide an answer to the question: what would be the impact on the Macedonian livestock, dairy and grain sectors of Macedonia integrating into the EU. In order to forecast the impact of the EU accession, the research uses the partial equilibrium model as a comprehensive tool for modelling the complex nature of the agricultural markets. Th e model simulation foresees the changes of the modelled sub-sectors in production, net-trade and income. Th e baseline scenario predicts a positive development for almost all selected commodities, with the exception of the beef sector, which is highly uncompetitive prior to the accession. Th ree EU accession scenarios foresee positive developments in the beef, lamb and cow's milk markets, while a negative development is expected in the pig meat and grains markets.

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“…They projected that EU enlargement would have a negative impact on the international competitiveness of Hungarian agriculture by increasing land and labour prices. Similar estimations were conducted by Erjavec et al (2006), forecasting that the new accession countries would gain from higher prices and budgetary support, indicating real improvements on recent production levels in most agricultural sectors. Ivanova et al (2007) analysed Bulgarian agriculture following EU accession by the AGMEMOD model and found that accession would have a very positive effect on the crop sector in Bulgaria, whereas the effect was the opposite on the livestock sector.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 91%