Pandemic, Social Unrest, and Crime in U.S. Cities

Rosenfeld, Richard; López, Ernesto

doi:10.1525/fsr.2020.33.1-2.72

Cited by 118 publications

(162 citation statements)

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“…Of particular concern is the effect of the dual stress incited by “facing a pandemic” and “shelter-in-place orders” on mental health (Du et al, 2020 ), raising concerns about the safety and well-being of people experiencing violence and abuse within relationships (Evans, 2020 ). However, the evidence of “shelter-in-place orders” on crime has been mixed, with some studies reporting decreases in crime (Ashby, 2020 ; Boman and Gallupe, 2020 ), while others report increases in specific types of crime such as homicide (Rosenfeld and Lopez, 2020 ) and domestic violence (Piquero et al, 2021 ), with mixed findings regarding associated predictors (Campedelli et al, 2020a , b ). Reducing different types of violence is a priority of Healthy People 2030 (Healthy People 2020, 2019 ), and therefore represents an important area of criminological inquiry.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Geographic disparities in violent crime during the COVID-19 lockdown in Miami-Dade County, Florida, 2018–2020

Moise

2021

J Exp Criminol

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Objectives This study uses two cluster detection techniques to identify clusters of violent crime during the 3 months of the 2020 COVID-19 lockdown in Miami-Dade County compared to that during an equivalent period in 2018 and 2019. Methods Violent crime data from the Miami-Dade Central Records Bureau were analyzed. The Local Indicators of Spatial Association statistics and a space‐time permutation statistic were used to identify clusters of violent crimes and outliers, and Global Moran’s I tool was used to assess spatial patterning in violent crime. Neighborhood disadvantage data were obtained from the American Community Survey 5-year estimates linked with arrest locations. Results Violent crime arrests fell by 7.1% in 2020. Arrests were concentrated in predominantly Black disadvantaged neighborhoods in the northern part, and similar results were produced for core clusters by the two cluster techniques with positive global Moran’s I for all study years. Although accounting for only 17% of the county population, nearly half of violent crime arrests were for Black or African American. Males comprised most violent crime arrests. Conclusions Crime prevention and intervention efforts should be focused on both high-risk places and offenders.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Geographic disparities in violent crime during the COVID-19 lockdown in Miami-Dade County, Florida, 2018–2020

Moise

2021

J Exp Criminol

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“…As well, and for present purposes, the virus and especially its associated lockdown policies have been linked to increases in certain types of crime, in particular homicides and domestic violence. 1,2 In this study, we further the investigation of how crime, specifically domestic violence, was affected by pandemic lockdowns in one populous but as-of-yet unstudied area, Miami-Dade County, which is home to almost 3 million people, with over two-thirds identifying Hispanic origins. Importantly, our work goes beyond the extant research, especially on domestic violence, in numerous ways.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Miami-Dade: A Case Study of Domestic Violence Arrests During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Kurland

2021

Preprint

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The global health crisis that started early in 2020 has triggered a surge of interest in the effect (if any) of COVID-19 on patterns of domestic violence.1 The first systematic review and meta-analysis examining domestic violence during the pandemic revealed quite a lot of diversity in the approaches used to measure potential effects. Drawing on the time series forecasting literature, this brief report contributes to the growing body of evidence around the issue of domestic violence during the pandemic. Arrest data from Miami-Dade County (US) are leveraged along with a robust approach towards model identification, which is used to generate a suitably accurate forecast against which the observed pandemic period domestic violence data can be compared. The pattern uncovered for Miami-Dade County was similar what was found in other U.S. cities that during the pandemic experienced spikes (+95 CI) in the level of domestic violence arrests that were greater than expected. Interestingly these spikes appeared shortly after dips (-95 CI) in observed arrests fell below the expected level.

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“…Aside from the public health toll, the pandemic has also shuttered businesses, produced significant unemployment, and disrupted businesses. With respect to crime, the pandemic has been linked to changes in criminal activity, including and especially homicide (Rosenfeld & Lopez, 2020). With respect to the present study, pandemic lockdowns have been predicted to increase domestic incidents through increased exposure among intimates and COVID-19 more generally through external economic strains in terms of job losses.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 66%

A Case Study of Domestic Violence Arrests during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Miami-Dade County

Piquero

Kurland

2021

Victims & Offenders

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The global health crisis that started early in 2020 has triggered a surge of interest in the effect (if any) of COVID-19 (coronavirus disease) on patterns of domestic violence. The first systematic review and metaanalysis examining domestic violence during the pandemic revealed quite a lot of diversity in the approaches used to measure potential effects. Drawing on the time series forecasting literature, this brief report contributes to the growing body of evidence around the issue of domestic violence during the pandemic. Arrest data from Miami-Dade County are leveraged along with a robust approach toward model identification, which is used to generate a suitably accurate forecast against which the observed pandemic period domestic violence data can be compared. Although our analyses of long-term postlockdown data provided some evidence for increases or spikes in domestic violence that were greater than expected, at the same time the evidence shows neither transient nor consistent change in the overall number of domestic violence arrests during the time periods examined.

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Pandemic, Social Unrest, and Crime in U.S. Cities

Cited by 118 publications

References 0 publications

Geographic disparities in violent crime during the COVID-19 lockdown in Miami-Dade County, Florida, 2018–2020

Geographic disparities in violent crime during the COVID-19 lockdown in Miami-Dade County, Florida, 2018–2020

Miami-Dade: A Case Study of Domestic Violence Arrests During the COVID-19 Pandemic

A Case Study of Domestic Violence Arrests during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Miami-Dade County

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