Participatory Scenario Development to Address Potential Impacts of Land Use Change: An Example from the Italian Alps

Malek, Žiga; Boerboom, L.G.J.

doi:10.1659/mrd-journal-d-14-00082.1

Cited by 27 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 56 publications

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“…Even though this is important to empower local communities, it is of limited utility when projecting how restoration actions may contribute to large‐scale ecological targets. Furthermore, the lack of quantitative models associated to the scenarios subsequently hinder the monitoring and evaluation of the implementation of scenario outcomes and undermines our capacity to up‐scale successful restoration approaches (Hanspach et al 2014, Malek and Boerboom 2015, Dupont et al 2016, Jorda‐Capdevila et al 2016, Karner et al 2019).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Participatory scenarios for restoring European landscapes show a plurality of nature values

et al. 2022

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Large-scale ecological restoration is crucial for effective biodiversity conservation and combating climate change. However, perspectives on the goals and values of restoration are highly diverse, as are the different approaches to restoration e.g. ranging from the restoration of cultural ecosystems to rewilding. We assess how the future of nature is envisioned in participatory scenarios, focusing on which elements of rewilding and nature contributions to people have been considered in scenario narratives across Europe. We used the Nature Futures Framework archetypes as a template to synthesize pluralistic perspectives of nature. We found that different values of nature are often represented as counteracting elements and fail to integrate the plural views of nature. Nature as Culture was the main archetype found in the scenarios, usually associated with positive impacts on the non-material benefits to people. Intrinsic values of nature (i.e., Nature for Nature) were associated with positive impacts on regulating benefits and negative impacts on material benefits, being the only archetype of future associated with positive impacts on all three components of rewilding. Nature for Society was associated with moderate positive impacts on material and regulatory nature contributions to people. Business as usual futures were associated with negative impacts on regulating and non-material benefits to people and on all three components of rewilding. Our results highlight two major gaps in the scenarios that should be addressed in participatory restoration planning and models. Firstly, there is a paucity of spatially explicit approaches, with most studies failing to transform the results of participatory scenario planning into model projections. Secondly, we found scenarios that explored co-benefits between multiple nature perspectives were overall missing from the literature. Novel scenario narratives and approaches that explore synergies among different nature values are needed to design future large-scale restoration where biodiversity recovery and human well-being are intrinsically linked and fostered.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Participatory scenarios for restoring European landscapes show a plurality of nature values

et al. 2022

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“…However, knowledge of stakeholders and how they shape land use change not only demonstrated the complexities of the past decade but also pointed towards potential future developments in the study area. We believe that understanding stakeholders and administration could serve to model potential future development scenarios in scenic areas (Castella et al, 2005;Van Berkel and Verburg, 2012) and be used to analyze potential future environmental consequences or to help plan for a desired future (Malek and Boerboom, 2015). In next subsection, we will discuss the influential forces behind the issues and what might be done to solve them.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Relationships between land use changes, stakeholders, and national scenic area administrations: A case study of Mount Jinfo and its surroundings in China

Penabaz-Wiley

Kinoshita

2019

Environment and Planning C: Politics and Space

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Rapid land use change in the surroundings of protected areas is rampant worldwide. This process is poorly understood and raises questions on how it happens, who shapes it, and the role of administration. To address these questions, we applied a case study in Jinfo National Scenic Area, China, and examined the relationships between land use change, concerned stakeholders, and the administration. Our study revealed that tourism-oriented commercial development and residential relocate were the main reasons for land use change and that the scenic area authorities, tourism enterprises, and locals were pivotal stakeholders in this process. In addition, we identified three authority types since the founding of Jinfo National Scenic Area. Evidence indicates that the conservation-oriented type and development-oriented type were less successful than the integration type in coordinating stakeholders and integrating the scenic area and its surroundings, and the development-oriented type has historically been most closely associated with damaging land use change. Further, we explored the causes for issues during the management of the Jinfo National Scenic Area included frequent administration changes, confusing plans and management goals, absence of a method for involving stakeholders, a lack of clear administrative authority, and a lack of an integrated national legal system. Our study highlights that it is critical to address these problems while aiming for a long-term balance of conservation and sustainable development in scenic areas and their surroundings.

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“…In this sense, the results can also be used as input for modeling future scenarios of flooded forest conversion to pasture land in response to different public polices for reducing Amazon upland deforestation [18,112,113]. A series of innovative approaches are available in the literature to build scenarios using agent based model which include population perception on the definition of policies to reduce impacts of land use change on environmental services [114][115][116]. Those simulations would also be able to project the state of ES in different scenarios of conservation policies, in order to help a wide understand of the risks of forest fragmentation not only to local population but also at national level, since the degradation of floodplain ES will affect not only forest dependent species but all the biota and the ecological processes in the floodplain [113].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forest Fragmentation in the Lower Amazon Floodplain: Implications for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Service Provision to Riverine Populations

2016

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This article analyzes the process of forest fragmentation of a floodplain landscape of the Lower Amazon over a 30-year period and its implications for the biodiversity and the provision of ecosystem services to the riverine population. To this end, we created a multi-temporal forest cover map based on Landsat images, and then analyzed the fragmentation dynamics through landscape metrics. From the analyses of the landscape and bibliographic information, we made inferences regarding the potential impacts of fragmentation on the biodiversity of trees, birds, mammals and insects. Subsequently, we used data on the local populations' environmental perception to assess whether the inferred impacts on biodiversity are perceived by these populations and whether the ecosystem services related to the biodiversity of the addressed groups are compromised. The results show a 70% reduction of the forest habitat as well as important changes in the landscape structure that constitute a high degree of forest fragmentation. The perceived landscape alterations indicate that there is great potential for compromise of the biodiversity of trees, birds, mammals and insects. The field interviews corroborate the inferred impacts on biodiversity and indicate that the ecosystem services of the local communities have been compromised. More than 95% of the communities report a decreased variety and/or abundance of animal and plant species, 46% report a decrease in agricultural productivity, and 19% confirm a higher incidence of pests during the last 30 years. The present study provides evidence of an accelerated process of degradation of the floodplain forests of the Lower Amazon and indicate substantial compromise of the ecosystem services provision to the riverine population in recent decades, including reductions of food resources (animals and plants), fire wood, raw material and medicine, as well as lower agricultural productivity due to probable lack of pollination, impoverishment of the soil and an increase of pests.

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Participatory Scenario Development to Address Potential Impacts of Land Use Change: An Example from the Italian Alps

Cited by 27 publications

References 56 publications

Participatory scenarios for restoring European landscapes show a plurality of nature values

Participatory scenarios for restoring European landscapes show a plurality of nature values

Relationships between land use changes, stakeholders, and national scenic area administrations: A case study of Mount Jinfo and its surroundings in China

Forest Fragmentation in the Lower Amazon Floodplain: Implications for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Service Provision to Riverine Populations

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