Party collapse and new party entry

Laroze, Denise

doi:10.1177/1354068817741286

Cited by 22 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 34 publications

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“…To a certain extent, this implies that the findings from the empirical studies regarding the economic determinants of specific political outcomes should be generalized with great caution, accompanied by political information, and compared across different political environments with care. In line with the conclusions of Bovens and Wille (2008), this finding informs the empirical analysis in other countries where and when new important parties enter the scene (e.g., En Marche in France, Podemos in Spain) and established parties are hit by national scandals (i.e., the 2013 Bavaria nepotism scandal in Germany, the Gürtel case in Spain, the Publifin and Samusocial scandals in Belgium, and the like), occurrences that, as shown by Laroze (2019), often go together.…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 59%

Globalization, robotization, and electoral outcomes: Evidence from spatial regressions for Italy

Caselli

Fracasso

Traverso

2020

Journal of Regional Science

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Criticism of economic globalization and technological progress has gained support in Italy in the last two decades. However, due to the differentiated exposure of local labor markets to this process, electoral outcomes have varied considerably across the country. By observing the local impact of three global economic phenomena (flows of migrants, foreign competition in international trade, and diffusion of robots) alongside with the patterns of local electoral outcomes potentially associated with discontent, this study analyzes the economic forces driving the evolution of general elections in 2001, 2008, and 2013 in Italy. The analysis reveals that all these global factors had an impact on political outcomes associated with discontent, albeit in different ways and changing over time. All three factors are associated with increases in votes for far‐right parties in the period 2001–2008, but only robotization continues to have such an impact in the following period, while immigration is associated with an increase in votes for the Five‐Star Movement at the expense of far‐right parties. The results and extensions exploiting recent advances in political geography, political economy, and spatial econometrics make it possible to draw some general and methodological conclusions. Global drivers interact with elements pertaining to the political supply that empirical researchers should not be oblivious about. Political spillovers across neighboring areas add to the direct impact of locally mediated economic factors. Finally, the adoption of shift–share instrumental variables to identify the impact of robotization may lack robustness.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 59%

Globalization, robotization, and electoral outcomes: Evidence from spatial regressions for Italy

Caselli

Fracasso

Traverso

2020

Journal of Regional Science

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“…This is highly relevant for game theoretic models that have been, and are being, developed based on this assumption (Besley & Coate, 1997;Bol et al, 2019;Greenberg & Shepsle, 1987;Kselman & Tucker, 2011;Osborne, 2000;Osborne & Slivinski, 1996;Palfrey, 1984), for agent-based modellers who build their models based on this assumption (Laver & Sergenti, 2011) and for the literature on new party entry that predominantly focusses on how structural and institutional features of a polity shape affect entry (e.g., Harmel & Robertson, 1985;Hug, 2001;Tavits, 2006). Recently, this literature has also begun to consider more dynamic elements like voter discontent (Sikk, 2012;Tavits, 2006), party collapse (Laroze, 2019), voter turnout (Lago & Martínez, 2011), slack in the issue agenda (Lowery et al, 2013), or the effective number of parties (Kselman et al, 2016). Nonetheless, how short-term electoral market dynamics affect entry has remained underexposed.…”

Section: Conclusion and Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Mind the gap: How party–voter incongruence fuels the entry and support of new parties

Wardt

Otjes

2021

European J Political Res

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This article examines to what extent ideological incongruence (i.e., mismatch between policy positions of voters and parties) increases the entry of new parties in national parliamentary elections and their individual-level electoral support. Current empirical research on party entry and new party support either neglects the role of party-voter incongruence, or it only examines its effect on the entry and support of specific new parties or party families. This article fills this lacuna. Based on spatial theory, we hypothesize that parties are more likely to enter when ideological incongruence between voters and parties is higher (Study 1) and that voters are more likely to vote for new parties if these stand closer to them than established parties (Study 2). Together our two studies span 17 countries between 1996 and 2016. Timeseries analyses support both hypotheses. This has important implications for spatial models of elections and empirical research on party entry and new party support.

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“…First, at the national level, a majoritarian electoral system is used in France, while a proportional system is used in Belgium. This has consequences for the electoral results obtained by political parties in these countries, notably by RRPPs (Laroze, 2017). Second, strategies adopted by mainstream parties towards RRPPs in France and Belgium differ.…”

Section: Cases Methods and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

How do radical right populist parties influence resurging debates over the stripping of citizenship?

Biard

2019

International Political Science Review

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Debates over the stripping of citizenship have been rekindled in many countries in recent years. Radical right populist parties (RRPPs) are often perceived to have played a significant role in these resurging debates, even when they do not possess executive power and are often marginalised by mainstream parties. Thus, RRPPs’ real influence on policy-making remains unclear and the way RRPPs intervene in the policy-making process to influence it has not yet been satisfactorily determined. By focusing on policy-making, this study asks the question: how do RRPPs influence resurging debates over the stripping of citizenship? Using process-tracing and evidence from archives, memoirs and 67 interviews with policy-makers and party leaders, this research aims to determine if and how RRPPs intervene in the process in France and Belgium. The results indicate that RRPPs matter but that their influence is strongly curtailed. Their influence is not exercised directly and through institutional arenas, but indirectly: based on a provocative style, in a specific context, and through public opinion and the media.

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Party collapse and new party entry

Cited by 22 publications

References 34 publications

Globalization, robotization, and electoral outcomes: Evidence from spatial regressions for Italy

Globalization, robotization, and electoral outcomes: Evidence from spatial regressions for Italy

Mind the gap: How party–voter incongruence fuels the entry and support of new parties

How do radical right populist parties influence resurging debates over the stripping of citizenship?

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