The impact of smoking cessation on coronary heart disease (CHD) and lung cancer was assessed after 10.5 years of follow-up in the 12,866 men in the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial (MRFIT). Those men who died of lung cancer (n = 119) were either cigarette smokers at entry or ex-smokers; no lung cancer deaths occurred among the 1,859 men who reported never smoking cigarettes. The risk of lung cancer for smokers, adjusted for selected baseline variables using a Cox proportional hazards model, increased as the number of cigarettes smoked increased (B = 0.0203, SE = 0.0076). There was not the same graded response for CHD among smokers at entry. The risk of CHD death was greater among smokers than nonsmokers (RR = 1.57) (B = -0.0034, S.E. = 0.0048). After
IntroductionIn the last two decades there have been continuing decreases in coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality rates in all United States populations'-3 while lung cancer mortality rates continue to increase in certain populations.4,5 Epidemiologic studies have consistently demonstrated a significantly higher relative risk for smokers compared to former smokers for each of these diseases." The beneficial effect of smoking cessation on CHD is rapid; as the period of cessation increases, the ex-smoker's relative risk approaches that of the never smoker.3 However, in one study this return occurred gradually over a 20-year period.8 The relative risk of developing lung cancer has been demonstrated to decrease as the period of cessation increases for smokers who have stopped smoking,6-8 but their relative risk is still significantly elevated after 10 to 20 years of cessation compared to lifetime never smokers and is related to both the duration of smoking and length of cessation.6-8In the available studies, the effect of smoking cessation on the risk of developing CHD and lung cancer was estimated either using data gathered retrospectively6-8 or by considering that smoking habits were unchanged over the period of follow-up.6,7 It is likely that during the course of these studies some ex-smokers became current smokers and vice versa. In