Pemodelan Sistem Dinamik untuk Prediksi Intensitas Hujan Harian di Kota Malang

Adipraja, Philip Faster Eka; Sulistyo, Danang Arbian

doi:10.32815/jitika.v12i2.272

Cited by 4 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 23 publications

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“…Figure 7 shows the development of a dynamic system model for predicting daily rainfall intensity. Figure 7 is a scenario model using a Flood Risk Sub-Model developed regarding the model created by Adipraja and Sulistyo (2018). Humidity and air temperature factors influence the occurrence of high rainfall.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Flood Disaster Risk Model in Karawang Regency's Industrial Area, West Java Province, Indonesia

Aruminingsih

Martono

Soesilo

et al. 2022

IJG

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Telukjambe Barat and Telukjambe Timur Sub-Districts, Karawang Regency, have a high flood risk level due to changes in Land Use/Land Cover and the yearly occurrence of runoff water discharge. This research aims to analyze the rate and pattern of land-use change due to industrial development, examine the correlation of flood impacts with environmental-socio-economic factors, and develop a flood risk model in industrial areas. Data were collected through methods of system dynamics, remote sensing, geographic information system, questionnaire distribution, focus group discussions, and in-depth interviews with stakeholders. The results showed that floods in this regency are due to massive inland changes, such as the transition from vegetation and water bodies to industrial and residential areas and a strong relationship between environmental-social-economic factors. In other cases, areas with urban land conversion are likely to be flood-prone zones in places such as the Philippines, Belgium, and China. Based on the correlation test that has been conducted, the relationship with the highest level of closeness is the correlation between environmental factors and the impact of flooding, which has a value of 0.791. Therefore, the disaster risk model with an integrated spatial plan approach and an ecological perspective is an option for realizing sustainable development in industrial areas in Karawang Regency.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Flood Disaster Risk Model in Karawang Regency's Industrial Area, West Java Province, Indonesia

Aruminingsih

Martono

Soesilo

et al. 2022

IJG

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“…Kapasitas TPA berhubungan dengan timbulan sampah yang akan terus bertambah seiring waktu, sehingga timbulan sampah ini bersifat dinamis (Warlina & Listyarini, 2022). Prediksi timbulan sampah yang dihasilkan kota dapat dilakukan dengan pendekatan sistem dinamik (Adipraja & Islamiyah, 2016;Kolekar et al, 2016;Nurfatmala et al, 2018). Pemodelan sistem dinamik dapat menganalisis hubungan dan sifat dalam pengelolaan sampah yang dinamis (Chaerul & Kartika, 2021).…”

Section: Pendahuluanunclassified

“…Peningkatan rata-rata penduduk Kabupaten Malang sebesar 0,73%. Angka tersebut menghasilkan perkiraan peningkatan volume sampah hingga 341.000 m 3 pada tahun 2035 (Adipraja & Islamiyah, 2016). Prediksi timbulan sampah di Kota Kediri lebih kecil dari Kabupaten Malang dikarenakan jumlah penduduk di Kota Kediri lebih kecil dari Kabupaten Malang.…”

Section: Validasi Modelunclassified

Estimasi Luas Lahan Tempat Pembuangan Akhir (TPA) Kota Kediri dengan Pendekatan Sistem Dinamik

Zakiyayasin Nisa’,

Ayu Murti,

Salam Jawwad

2023

envirotek

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Sistem pengelolaan sampah di Indonesia umumnya menggunakan metode sanitary landfill. Metode sanitary landfill ini memerlukan luas lahan yang dapat menampung sejumlah sampah sesuai target waktu. Kota Kediri memiliki tempat penampungan akhir (TPA) yang saat ini telah penuh, sehingga perlu ada area baru untuk penampungan sampah. Perhitungan luas lahan landfill dapat diketahui melalui prediksi timbulan sampah yang akan dihasilkan dengan pendekatan sistem dinamik. Model pengelolaan sampah kota Kediri saat ini disimulasikan untuk strukturisasi model dan melakukan simulasi untuk 10 tahun ke depan. Hasil simulasi menunjukkan prediksi timbulan sampah yang akan dihasilkan kota Kediri hingga 10 tahun ke depan sebanyak 11.882.800 liter atau 11.882,8 m3. Estimasi ketinggian landfill 20 m, sehingga luas lahan penimbunan sampah seluas 594,14 m2. Pemerintah Kota Kediri memerlukan lahan sebagai area TPA baru yang dapat menampung minimal dengan luas lahan penimbunan sampah tersebut.

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“…Sedangkan sistem dinamis sendiri terpilih menjadi metode penyelesaian dalam penelitian ini dikarenakan metode ini terbukti dapat mengantisipasi perubahan yang terjadi baik dalam jangka pendek hingga jangka panjang. Seluruh variabel yang mempengaruhi sistem yang bersifat dinamis serta kompleks dapat teridentifikasi dengan menggunakan metode ini [9]. Simulasi cocok diaplikasikan untuk membaca pergerakan sistem yang kompleks [10].…”

Section: Pendahuluanunclassified

Government Policy Analysis to Develop the Krian-Manyar-Gresik Toll in order to Reduce Traffic Jam using A Dynamic System Approach

Sukma¹,

Nugraha²,

Rahmawati³

et al. 2022

prozima

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Infrastructure development in an area, including the construction of toll roads, is aimed at developing a region and increasing the economy of the region. The construction of the toll road which is connected from Krian-Manyar-Gresik is carried out to facilitate traffic connecting the two cities. Traffic jams often occur at the link between the two cities. Congestion that occurs is usually caused by an increase in the volume of vehicles. Therefore, the construction of a toll road connecting the two cities is the best alternative. This research aimed to know government policies effectiveness in the construction of this toll road. The method used in this research is to use a dynamic system approach. From the results of the traffic simulation model design, it is found that the construction of toll roads is considered very influential and can be a way out of congestion problems. This is due to a decrease in the degree of saturation of congestion and although there is an increase from year to year, it is only slightly and not too significant. So the researchers suggest to continue the planned toll road construction project.

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Pemodelan Sistem Dinamik untuk Prediksi Intensitas Hujan Harian di Kota Malang

Cited by 4 publications

References 23 publications

Flood Disaster Risk Model in Karawang Regency's Industrial Area, West Java Province, Indonesia

Flood Disaster Risk Model in Karawang Regency's Industrial Area, West Java Province, Indonesia

Estimasi Luas Lahan Tempat Pembuangan Akhir (TPA) Kota Kediri dengan Pendekatan Sistem Dinamik

Government Policy Analysis to Develop the Krian-Manyar-Gresik Toll in order to Reduce Traffic Jam using A Dynamic System Approach

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