Objectives. Previous research revealed that successful aging includes both objective and subjective dimensions. This longitudinal analysis examines how early life influences and midlife characteristics predict stability and change in successful aging over a 4-year period. Method. Data from 3,379 people living in New Jersey who completed baseline telephone interviews between 2006 and 2008 and follow-up mail surveys in 2011 were analyzed. Latent profile analysis identified people who aged successfully according to both objective and subjective criteria, neither criteria, and one, but not the other criteria. Multinomial logistic regressions analyses focused on the 2,614 people who were successful according to both objective and subjective criteria at baseline. Results. At follow-up, 18.1% people successful at baseline had transitioned out of that status. Characteristics identifiable early in life (gender, race, education, never marrying, incarceration) as well as midlife status (currently married, working), health behaviors (smoking, drinking, body mass index, exercise), and social support distinguished people who continued to age successfully 4 years later from those who did not. Discussion. Findings suggest that successful aging is a fluid construct and that although some characteristics identifiable early in life predict successful aging, others are dampened by midlife statuses.
Key Words: Latent profile analysis-Longitudinal analysis-Multinomial logistic regression-Objective successSubjective success-Successful agingOver the past several decades, the quest to understand successful aging has yielded an exponential growth in the number of publications defining the construct and empirical studies examining its predictors. Although it is generally agreed that aging is a process that evolves over time, understanding the fluidity of successful aging has been hindered by an almost exclusive reliance on cross-sectional designs. Fraught with concerns about causal attributions