“…The flux balance model using snail shell d 18 O values has been widely applied to both modern and paleo studies (e.g. Balakrishnan et al, 2005aBalakrishnan et al, , 2005bColonese et al, 2011Colonese et al, , 2014Yanes, 2015;Yanes & Romanek, 2013;Yanes et al, 2009Yanes et al, , 2011Yanes et al, , 2012Yanes et al, , 2013aYanes et al, , 2013b. For example, based on the model by Yanes et al (2012), the environment from 12.1 to10.9 ka BP was drier than both the 8.4 to 6.3 ka BP interval and today.…”