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The article deals with the demographic dynamics of the regions of Russia during the post-war Soviet period since 1959, and in the post-Soviet period of 1991–2017. It identifies the basic factors of demographic development of the country’s regions in these two historical periods. There is presented the grouping p of regions by the level of demographic dynamics and the ratio of two main components — reproduction and migration, are highlighted the leaders of demographic growth and problem regions. The authors show the dynamics of geopolitically significant territories of Russia, primarily in the Far East. They stress that in the post-war period, up to the collapse of the USSR, the demographic development of the majority of Russian regions was provided mainly at the expense of inner resources, i. e. due to natural population growth. The same is true for geopolitically significant outlying territories of the Far East, Siberia and the European North, where in 1970–1990 almost 7/8 of the total population growth was formed due to natural population growth and only 1/8 — due to migration from other regions of Russia, as well as from the former republics of the USSR. There is made a conclusion that to change radically the demographic situation in the Far East “de facto” only with immigration of compatriots, as is being done now, is not possible. To solve this problem, it’s necessary to use all demographic «leverage» — fertility, interregional migration, immigration of both compatriots and (selectively) representatives of the titular peoples of the former Soviet republics, as well as temporary (labor and educational) migration as a potential of permanent migration.
The article deals with the demographic dynamics of the regions of Russia during the post-war Soviet period since 1959, and in the post-Soviet period of 1991–2017. It identifies the basic factors of demographic development of the country’s regions in these two historical periods. There is presented the grouping p of regions by the level of demographic dynamics and the ratio of two main components — reproduction and migration, are highlighted the leaders of demographic growth and problem regions. The authors show the dynamics of geopolitically significant territories of Russia, primarily in the Far East. They stress that in the post-war period, up to the collapse of the USSR, the demographic development of the majority of Russian regions was provided mainly at the expense of inner resources, i. e. due to natural population growth. The same is true for geopolitically significant outlying territories of the Far East, Siberia and the European North, where in 1970–1990 almost 7/8 of the total population growth was formed due to natural population growth and only 1/8 — due to migration from other regions of Russia, as well as from the former republics of the USSR. There is made a conclusion that to change radically the demographic situation in the Far East “de facto” only with immigration of compatriots, as is being done now, is not possible. To solve this problem, it’s necessary to use all demographic «leverage» — fertility, interregional migration, immigration of both compatriots and (selectively) representatives of the titular peoples of the former Soviet republics, as well as temporary (labor and educational) migration as a potential of permanent migration.
The subject of the study is the permanent population of those regions of European Russia where stable natural decline (depopulation) took place in general for 1992–2024. The topic of the study is the absolute and relative scale of depopulation, the ratio of its main components (fertility and mortality), as well as the most significant demographic factors of this negative process; First, this is the migration component (migration external to the regions), compensating or aggravating the demographic development of these territories. The purpose of the study is to identify among the regions of European Russia that have experienced depopulation in general over 33 post-Soviet years, groups that are typical in terms of the most significant characteristics, to reveal the main factors affecting the level of depopulation and the nature of demographic development in them. Research methods are demographic statistical analysis, the use of relative demographic indicators for correct inter-territorial comparison. The source of all data for calculations is Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat). Results of the study: three typical groups of regions of European Russia are identified according to the scale and nature of depopulation and the role of migration processes in them. The first group is the regions with the maximum level of depopulation coefficient, which suffered largely during the Great Patriotic War and/or subsequent migration processes. The second group is the socio-economically successful territories of the European part of Russia, which have a moderate depopulation coefficient and largely compensate for the natural decline with migration growth, primarily from other regions of Russia. The third group is regions that have a moderate level of depopulation, despite the migration loss from them. First, these are the regions of the European Far North and the northern Cis-Urals. Scientific contribution includes a methodology for correct territorial comparison of Russian regions according to the scale and nature of depopulation in them has been supplemented and applied. Conclusions: The European and Asian parts of Russia are developing demographically disproportionately. Throughout the post-Soviet period, the European part has been “fed” by the population through migration at the expense of the Asian part. The problems facing us require the opposite. This vector can be reversed through the efforts of the state and considering the economic market economy. The scope of application of the results is to provide social services and monitoring for those interested in the demographic problem of Russian regions.
Migration acts as a growth driver for urban agglomerations, posing a difficult methodological task of its statistical accounting as well as further assessment of migration?s impact on the economy of agglomerations. The paper analyzes the contribution of migration to the change in population during the intercensal interval 2010-2021 in 20 urban agglomerations of Russia identified as promising centers of economic growth by the Russian Federation Government Decree ?On Approval of the Spatial Development Strategy of the Russian Federation for the period until 2025?. The study showed that the most underestimated net migration rate was demonstrated by the agglomerations of Krasnodar, distantly followed by Krasnoyarsk and the capitals (Moscow and Saint Petersburg). The leader in terms of the absolute value of unrecorded migration is the Moscow agglomeration. In Nizhny Novgorod and Perm agglomerations, indirect assessment of net migration showed that migration balance was overestimated as per the registered migration data. The identified differences in the volume of net migration between the two sources indicate the unreliability of the data, thus questioning in some urban agglomerations the alignment of the demographic potential with economic development goals.
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