Positive impacts of important bird and biodiversity areas on wintering waterbirds under changing temperatures throughout Europe and North Africa

Pavón‐Jordán, Diego; Abdou, Web; Azafzaf, Hichem; Baláž, Michal; Bino, Taulant; Borg, John J.; Božič, Luca; Butchart, Stuart H. M.; Clausen, Preben; Šniaukšta, Laimonas; Dakki, Mohamed; Devos, Koen; Domșa, Cristi; Encarnação, Vítor; Etayeb, Khaled; Faragó, Sándor; Fox, Anthony D.; Frost, Teresa; Gaudard, Clémence; Georgiev, Valeri; Goratze, Irakli; Hornman, Menno; Keller, Véréna; Kostiushyn, V. A.; Langendoen, Tom; Ławicki, Łukasz; Ieronymidou, Christina; Lewis, Lesley; Lorentsen, Svein Håkon; Luigujõe, Leho; Meissner, Włodzimierz; Mikuška, Tibor; Molina, Blas; Musil, Petr; Musilová, Zuzana; Nagy, Szabolcs; Natykanets, Viktor; Nilsson, Leif; Paquet, Jean‐Yves; Portolou, Danae; Ridzon, Josef; Santangeli, Andrea; Sayoud, Samir; Šćiban, Marko; Stīpniece, Antra; Teufelbauer, Norbert; Topić, Goran; Uzunova, Danka; Vizi, Andrej; Wahl, Johannes; Erciyas-Yavuz, Kiraz; Zenatello, Marco; Lehikoinen, Aleksi

doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2020.108549

Cited by 29 publications

(29 citation statements)

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“…The rapid distributional changes that we found bring into question the future effectiveness of the PA networks, because of the locations of these sites potentially do not match the future distributions of waterbird species (Araújo et al 2004). In the Western-Palearctic, even if the number of PAs increases in the north, the network still does not cover all the wetlands important for waterbird conservation (Pavón-Jordán et al 2015;2020;Guillemain & Hearn 2017). More studies are needed to evaluate the current and future coherence and cohesiveness of the PA network particularly for species of conservation concern.…”

Section: Perspectives For Research and Conservationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For these reasons, waterbirds have been targeted with a large-scale monitoring program, the International Waterbird Census (IWC, Delany 2010). Data collection for the IWC is particularly intensive and extensive in Western-Palearctic countries, both inside and outside PAs (Delany 2010) and provides unique data to investigate the effectiveness of conservation strategies at continental scale (Pavón-Jordán et al 2015, 2020Amano et al 2018). Indeed, numerous studies have identified change in the nonbreeding distributions of waterbirds in response to climate warming in the Western-Palearctic (Maclean et al 2008, Lehikoinen et al 2013, Pavón-Jordán et al 2019, that are related to conservation measures (Johnston et al 2013, Pavón-Jordán et al 2015, Gaget et al 2018.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…At the leading edge of species distributions, colonization may be more likely to occur in PAs (Hiley et al 2013;Gillingham et al 2015;Lehikoinen et al 2019;Peach et al 2019), particularly with large PA surface (Gaüzère et al 2016), and to promote range expansion (Thomas et al 2012;Pavón-Jordán et al 2015). Conversely, species extirpation at the trailing edge can be reduced in PAs (Gillingham et al 2015;Lehikoinen et al 2019;Peach et al 2019). In view of these contrasting patterns, it is important to evaluate in a comprehensive framework the effects of PAs on changes in species distribution throughout the overall community of species.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Defined as areas set aside and managed for the purpose of conservation, PAs (UNEP-WCMC, IUCN and NGS 2021) are one of the most efficient ways to protect ecosystems of high biological importance (Godet & Devictor 2018). At the leading edge of species distributions, colonization may be more likely to occur in PAs (Hiley et al 2013;Gillingham et al 2015;Lehikoinen et al 2019;Peach et al 2019), particularly with large PA surface (Gaüzère et al 2016), and to promote range expansion (Thomas et al 2012;Pavón-Jordán et al 2015). Conversely, species extirpation at the trailing edge can be reduced in PAs (Gillingham et al 2015;Lehikoinen et al 2019;Peach et al 2019).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Benefits of protected areas for nonbreeding waterbirds adjusting their distributions under climate warming

Gaget

Pavón‐Jordán

Johnston

et al. 2021

Conservation Biology

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Section: Perspectives For Research and Conservationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Benefits of protected areas for nonbreeding waterbirds adjusting their distributions under climate warming

Gaget

Pavón‐Jordán

Johnston

et al. 2021

Conservation Biology

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“…Wintering waterbirds exploit resources that are ephemeral in time and space and their availability is temperature-dependent [37,38]. Waterbird abundance was positively correlated with temperature anomalies [39]; we therefore inferred that the fluctuation in temperature influences waterbird dynamics with regard to abundance and distribution. However, temperature is less important in winter duck distributions than foraging factors such as food accessibility (e.g., water level) [40] With the impoundment of the TGRR, the importance of the DEM increased.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 80%

Assessment of the Suitability of Wintering Anatidae Habitats before and after Impoundment in the Three Gorges Reservoir Region

Cheng

Xiao

et al. 2021

Sustainability

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In this study, we aimed to understand the distribution of and changes in the habitats suitable for Anatidae wintering in the Three Gorges Reservoir Region (TGRR), China, and to explore the impact of the impoundment during different impoundment periods. Based on species occurrence data for four dominant species of Anatidae and environmental factors, a maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model was used to analyze the suitability of habitats during five impoundment periods. The results show that the main factors affecting Anatidae distribution were temperature and roads before the Three Gorges Project (TGP) and elevation after the TGP. After the TGP, the area of the suitable habitat declined rapidly and then gradually increased with increasing water level. After impoundment, the primary area of increased habitat suitability was the main stream of the Yangtze River from Changshou District to Yunyang County and its tributary in the Kaizhou area. Among the habitats, the central water regions were more suitable than the marginal shoal areas. Anatidae habitats in the TGRR were distributed mainly within the Yangtze River main stream and the surrounding areas before the TGP, and the surrounding areas largely disappeared after the TGP, particularly in Chongqing City and Jiangjin District. In this context, it is challenging to create new protected areas within the habitat suitable for Anatidae in the main stream of the Yangtze River; we propose adding the Anatidae as conservation targets within the existing conservation agencies and implementing a waterbird monitoring program for scientific waterbird conservation and the sustainable development of the reservoir.

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Assessing spatiotemporal variation in abundance: A flexible framework accounting for sampling bias with an application to common pochard (Aythya ferina)

Folliot

Caizergues

Tableau

et al. 2022

Ecology and Evolution

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Assessing trends in the relative abundance of populations is a key yet complex issue for management and conservation. This is a major aim of many large‐scale censusing schemes such as the International Waterbird Count (IWC). However, owing to the lack of sampling strategy and standardization, such schemes likely suffer from biases due to spatial heterogeneity in sampling effort. Despite huge improvements of the statistical tools that allow tackling these statistical issues (e.g., GLMM, Bayesian inference), many conservationists still prefer to rely on stand‐alone turn‐key statistical tools, often violating the prerequisites put forward by the developers of these tools. Here, we propose a straightforward and flexible approach to tackle the typical statistical issues one can encounter when analyzing count data of monitoring schemes such as the IWC. We rely on IWC counts of the declining common pochard populations of the Northwest European flyway as a case study (period 2002–2012). To standardize the size of sampling units and mitigate spatial autocorrelation, we grouped sampling sites using a 75 × 75 km grid cells overlaid over the flyway of interest. Then, we used a hierarchical modeling approach, assessing population trends with random effects at two spatial scales (grid cells, and sites within grid cells) in order to derive spatialized values and to compute the average population trend at the whole flyway scale. Our approach allowed to tackle many statistical issues inherent to this type of analysis but often neglected, including spatial autocorrelation. Concerning the case study, our main findings are that: (1) the northwestern population of common pochards experienced a steep decline (4.9% per year over the 2002–2012 period); (2) the decline was more pronounced at high than low latitude (11.6% and 0.5% per year at 60° and 46° of latitude, respectively); and, (3) the decline was independent of the initial number of individuals in a given site (random across sites). Beyond the case study of the common pochard, our study provides a conceptual statistical framework for estimating and assessing potential drivers of population trends at various spatial scales.

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Positive impacts of important bird and biodiversity areas on wintering waterbirds under changing temperatures throughout Europe and North Africa

Cited by 29 publications

References 60 publications

Benefits of protected areas for nonbreeding waterbirds adjusting their distributions under climate warming

Benefits of protected areas for nonbreeding waterbirds adjusting their distributions under climate warming

Assessment of the Suitability of Wintering Anatidae Habitats before and after Impoundment in the Three Gorges Reservoir Region

Assessing spatiotemporal variation in abundance: A flexible framework accounting for sampling bias with an application to common pochard (Aythya ferina)

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