Possibilities of forest property insurance against the risk of fire in Slovakia

Hillayová, Michaela Korená; Báliková, Klára; Giertliová, Blanka; Drábek, Josef; Holecy, Jan

doi:10.17221/199/2020-jfs

Cited by 3 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 25 publications

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“…Estimating return intervals of extreme events is an important foundation for considerations of insurance (Embrechts et al., 1997). While forest insurance is more common in Fennoscandia there is currently a low prevalence of forest insurance in Central Europe (Brunette et al., 2015; Korená Hillayová et al., 2021). The return intervals of extreme events provided here could help in making insurance considerations more tangible also for the Alps.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Quantifying patch size distributions of forest disturbances in protected areas across the European Alps

Maroschek,

Seidl,

Poschlod

et al. 2023

Journal of Biogeography

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AimNatural disturbances are key drivers of forest ecosystem dynamics and are highly sensitive to global change. Despite their importance, central disturbance characteristics remain unknown for many forests worldwide. Here, we quantified an important component of the forest disturbance regime—the distribution of patch sizes—in strictly protected areas by asking: (i) How are patch sizes of naturally occurring disturbances distributed across the Alps and how can they best be quantified? (ii) Are patch size distributions stochastic or can they be explained by environmental drivers? (iii) What are the return periods of extreme disturbance events?LocationEuropean Alps.MethodsWe analysed satellite‐based disturbance maps for the period 1986–2020 across a network of 12 strictly protected areas, modelling patch sizes of all observed disturbance patches as well as of annual extreme events. We tested the influence of temperature, precipitation, topographic complexity and forest type on patch size distributions.ResultsDisturbance patch sizes across the Alps (median 0.36 ha, 5th percentile 0.18 ha and 95th percentile 1.71 ha) as well as their annual extremes (0.72 ha, 0.18–7.11 ha) are best described by a Fréchet distribution. The size of annual extreme events significantly increased with intra‐annual temperature amplitude (+0.98 ha with a one standard deviation increase) and the share of evergreen trees (+0.63 ha). On average, disturbance patches of 5.5 ha (95% credible interval 2.6–17.5 ha) occur once every 30 years, whereas patches of 2.6 ha (1.2–7.0 ha) occur once every 10 years.Main ConclusionsDisturbances caused by natural agents are generally small and stochastic across the Alps. Extreme events are driven by climate, suggesting sensitivity of disturbance patch sizes to climate change. Our results provide a baseline for monitoring climate‐induced changes in forest disturbance regimes, and provide important information for the management and conservation of forest ecosystems.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Quantifying patch size distributions of forest disturbances in protected areas across the European Alps

Maroschek,

Seidl,

Poschlod

et al. 2023

Journal of Biogeography

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“…We observe that the literature mainly focuses on insurance against wildfire [17,19,23,26,30,33,37,39,[45][46][47]49,50]. This risk is at the origin of this literature on forest insurance since the seminal papers [45,47,49,50] focus on wildfire insurance in the U.S. and Japan.…”

Section: The Risks Considered: From Wildfire In Us To Storm In Europementioning

confidence: 99%

“…The first articles in the database are [45] and [47]. However, the literature also covers other countries such as Spain [23], Italy [25], China [21,29,36], Sweden [44], Slovakia [8,46], Germany [16,33], Ghana [38], Brazil [24,40], Portugal [17], Honduras [42,43], Japan [50], France [19,22,30], Switzerland [35,53] and New Zealand [6]. At the continental level, 13 articles related to Europe, 4 to Asia, 9 to North America, 4 to South America, 1 to Oceania and 1 to Africa.…”

Section: The Countries Where Forest Insurance Is An Issue: Europe ...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Forest Insurance for Natural Events: An Overview by Economists

Brunette

Couture²

2023

Forests

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Forest insurance exists for more than a century in lots of countries around the world. Currently, it is put forward as a recommended tool to finance resilience and adaptation towards climate change. However, little synthetic knowledge exists on forest insurance, although this seems to be a prerequisite for using insurance as an adaptation tool. This article aims at providing an overview of the current economics literature on the topic of forest insurance. More precisely, the objectives of this study are to carry out a review of the literature on this topic, to produce a bibliometric overview of knowledge on this issue, and thus to highlight scientific fronts. For that purpose, we propose a literature review. We collected 38 articles published in English between 1928 and 2021. We provide the following bibliometric information: journals, evolution over time of the publications, authors and co-citations network and analysis of the keywords. We also propose to synthesize the methods used, the various issues of interest, the risks considered and the countries where the studies were conducted. We show that an article on forest insurance has a high probability of being recent (after 2000) and of being published in the journal Forest Policy and Economics. In addition, it is highly probable that it will identify some determinants of insurance demand and that it will deal with fire risk in the U.S. or storm risk in Europe. Noting a small scientific community and a low number of publications, we identified seven fronts of science related to methods and data, new risks and uncertainties, public policies and forest insurance, and openness and the international dimension.

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Analysis of Current and Future Forest Disturbances Dynamics in Central Europe

Gejdoš

Michajlová

2022

Forests

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The area of forests and the standing volume per hectare are constantly increasing in Europe, and this trend is expected to continue for several more decades; the aim of this paper was to provide an empirical overview of the development of disturbances in selected countries of central Europe and based on this overview to empirically model and predict the development and intensity of disturbances in the future. Statistical methods (Holt–Winters) and predictive risk models of the growth simulator SIBYLA were used for prediction. From the statistically predicted values by this method, it follows that, in the next three years, it is possible to assume that stagnation will result in declining volumes of incidental fellings in all countries. Forecast from the growth simulator SIBYLA shows a substantial increase in the predicted volume of incidental fellings for the years 2021 and 2022, compared with 2020. The volumes of incidental fellings should grow most significantly, especially in Germany, Poland, and Austria. The performed analysis and predictions suggest that the peak of wood volumes damaged by disturbances in the next decade will probably be reached already in the reports for 2021 or 2022. However, the risk of disturbances remains high, and other large-scale area disturbances in forest ecosystems cannot be completely ruled out.

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Possibilities of forest property insurance against the risk of fire in Slovakia

Cited by 3 publications

References 25 publications

Quantifying patch size distributions of forest disturbances in protected areas across the European Alps

Quantifying patch size distributions of forest disturbances in protected areas across the European Alps

Forest Insurance for Natural Events: An Overview by Economists

Analysis of Current and Future Forest Disturbances Dynamics in Central Europe

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