Predicted population dynamics of an indigenous rodent, Apodemus agrarius, in an agricultural system

Wang, Deng; Anderson, Dean P.; Li, Ké; Guo, Yongwang; Yang, Zaixue; Pech, Roger P.

doi:10.1016/j.cropro.2021.105683

Cited by 9 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…Our analysis showed that among the variables that determine the iSDMs and eSDMs, four variables are the most important-Bio_01 (annual mean temperature), Bio_05 (max temperature of warmest month), Bio_12 (annual precipitation), and Bio_19 (precipitation of the coldest quarter). The importance of these variables for the species is confirmed by numerous studies conducted in the native and invasive parts of the range [46,[118][119][120]. Rodent reproductive activity is regulated by temperature, precipitation, and the availability of sufficient food [119].…”

Section: Why Are Selected Variables Important For the Creation Of Isd...mentioning

confidence: 91%

“…For example, on agricultural land in China, the proportion of pregnant females increased with seasonal warming. At an average monthly temperature of 10 • C, it was 20%, and at 15-24 • C it was 60% [120]. However, hot summers (average monthly temperature ≥ 29 • C) reduced the rate of reproduction, which led to a bimodal pattern of population growth [120].…”

Section: Why Are Selected Variables Important For the Creation Of Isd...mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Range Dynamics of Striped Field Mouse (Apodemus agrarius) in Northern Eurasia under Global Climate Change Based on Ensemble Species Distribution Models

Petrosyan

Dinets

Osipov

et al. 2023

Biology

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The striped field mouse (Apodemus agrarius Pallas, 1771) is a widespread species in Northern Eurasia. It damages crops and carries zoonotic pathogens. Its current and future range expansion under climate change may negatively affect public health and the economy, warranting further research to understand the ecological and invasive characteristics of the species. In our study, we used seven algorithms (GLM, GAM, GBS, FDA, RF, ANN, and MaxEnt) to develop robust ensemble species distribution models (eSDMs) under current (1970–2000) and future climate conditions derived from global circulation models (GCMs) for 2021–2040, 2041–2060, 2061–2080, and 2081–2100. Simulation of climate change included high-, medium-, and low-sensitivity GCMs under four scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5). We analyzed the habitat suitability across GCMs and scenarios by constructing geographical ranges and calculating their centroids. The results showed that the range changes depended on both the sensitivity of GCMs and scenario. The main trends were range expansion to the northeast and partial loss of habitat in the steppe area. The striped field mouse may form a continuous range from Central Europe to East Asia, closing the range gap that has existed for 12 thousand years. We present 49 eSDMs for the current and future distribution of A. agrarius (for 2000–2100) with quantitative metrics (gain, loss, change) of the range dynamics under global climate change. The most important predictor variables determining eSDMs are mean annual temperature, mean diurnal range of temperatures, the highest temperature of the warmest month, annual precipitation, and precipitation in the coldest month. These findings could help limit the population of the striped field mouse and predict distribution of the species under global climate change.

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Section: Why Are Selected Variables Important For the Creation Of Isd...mentioning

confidence: 91%

Section: Why Are Selected Variables Important For the Creation Of Isd...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Range Dynamics of Striped Field Mouse (Apodemus agrarius) in Northern Eurasia under Global Climate Change Based on Ensemble Species Distribution Models

Petrosyan

Dinets

Osipov

et al. 2023

Biology

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“…This view is in line with what was mentioned earlier in that IKS is crucial in the maintenance and viability of agriculture if properly inculcated. That is why Wang et al (2021) argued that the potential benefits of traditional agriculture are increased life of crops, for instance, and reduction of agrochemical inputs and increased crop resistance to biotic and abiotic stresses. Apraku et al (2021) add that Africa is highly vulnerable to changes in global climatic conditions due to its low adaptive capacity and sensitivity to changes in climatic variables, particularly in the agricultural sector -a key attribute of studies on climate change coping strategies indicating a disregard of traditional knowledge that may reduce climate change (Borowski, 2022).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Advancing agriculture through Indigenous Knowledge Systems (IKS) in South African indigenous or black communities

Diko

2023

IJRBS

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The primary aim of this scholarly discourse is to demonstrate how South African indigenous people advanced agricultural practices without the dominant aid of globalisation and modernity that, to a certain degree, discredits Indigenous Knowledge Systems (IKS) that have existed from time immemorial. Qualitative research inquiry and IKS are synergetically used as approaches to this scholarly discourse to form juxtaposition and triangulation – a balancing act. The main discussions and findings of the article underline that incontrovertibly, South African indigenous people had their traditional ways of advancing human and social life such as relying on traditional medicine, farming, harvesting and many other determinants. In respect of the problematised phenomenon, the conclusion infuses recommendations for future scholarly debates while the emphasis is on embracing traditional knowledge and avoid continuous and solitary accreditation of neo-liberalist and imperialist notions in South Africa and elsewhere.

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“…In our study, these scenarios are unlikely, because the trapping sites were located in farmlands and villages. In these places, food quantity and quality are rather homogeneous, especially over time [40]. In addition, precipitation is considered to be the most limiting factor for primary plant production, affecting both food availability and quality [6].…”

Section: (A) Effects Of Increasing Ambient Temperature On Body Sizementioning

confidence: 99%

Distinct body-size responses to warming climate in three rodent species

Sommer

Yang

et al. 2022

Proc. R. Soc. B.

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In mammals, body-size responses to warming climates are diverse, and the mechanisms underlying these different responses have been little investigated. Using temporal and spatial datasets of three rodent species distributed across different climatic zones in China, we investigated temporal and spatial trends of body size (length and mass), identified the critical drivers of these trends, and inferred the potential causes underlying the distinct body-size responses to the critical drivers. We found that body mass of all species remained stable over time and across space. Body length, however, increased in one species over time and in two species across space. Generally, body-length variation was predicted best by minimum ambient temperature. Moreover, in two species, body length changed linearly with temperature differences between ancestral and colonization areas. These distinct temperature–length patterns may jointly be caused by species-specific temperature sensitivities and experienced magnitudes of warming. We hypothesize that species or populations distributed across distinct temperature gradients evolved different intrinsic temperature sensitivities, which affect how their body sizes respond to warming climates. Our results suggest that size trends associated with climate change should be explored at higher temporal and spatial resolutions, and include clades of species with similar distributions.

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Predicted population dynamics of an indigenous rodent, Apodemus agrarius, in an agricultural system

Cited by 9 publications

References 39 publications

Range Dynamics of Striped Field Mouse (Apodemus agrarius) in Northern Eurasia under Global Climate Change Based on Ensemble Species Distribution Models

Range Dynamics of Striped Field Mouse (Apodemus agrarius) in Northern Eurasia under Global Climate Change Based on Ensemble Species Distribution Models

Advancing agriculture through Indigenous Knowledge Systems (IKS) in South African indigenous or black communities

Distinct body-size responses to warming climate in three rodent species

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