2022
DOI: 10.2196/38495
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Predicting Multiple Sclerosis Outcomes During the COVID-19 Stay-at-home Period: Observational Study Using Passively Sensed Behaviors and Digital Phenotyping

Abstract: Background The COVID-19 pandemic has broad negative impact on the physical and mental health of people with chronic neurological disorders such as multiple sclerosis (MS). Objective We presented a machine learning approach leveraging passive sensor data from smartphones and fitness trackers of people with MS to predict their health outcomes in a natural experiment during a state-mandated stay-at-home period due to a global pandemic. … Show more

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Cited by 12 publications
(12 citation statements)
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“…We compared the regression results to random – that predicts a random number within the expected range – and average – that always predicts the average score in the dataset – baselines. To evaluate models’ performance, we calculate the F1-score (F1) for classification tasks and mean absolute error (MAE) for regression tasks over stratified group 5-fold cross-validation (SG5FCV), similar to 22 , 23 . We split the data into non-overlapping participant training and test sets to investigate the performance of our approach to a new, unseen group of subjects.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 2 more Smart Citations
“…We compared the regression results to random – that predicts a random number within the expected range – and average – that always predicts the average score in the dataset – baselines. To evaluate models’ performance, we calculate the F1-score (F1) for classification tasks and mean absolute error (MAE) for regression tasks over stratified group 5-fold cross-validation (SG5FCV), similar to 22 , 23 . We split the data into non-overlapping participant training and test sets to investigate the performance of our approach to a new, unseen group of subjects.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Such devices have already been used to monitor the fatigability 5 , 18 , fatigue 4 , EDSS level 19 – 22 and other outcomes of PwMS 23 . For instance, Motl et al use a two-minute walk test 19 and the timed 25-foot walk test 20 , which reflect the walking disability level, to approximate the EDSS level.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…This cross-sectional study included 368 participants (primary cohort) who enrolled in a clinicbased prospective cohort study (Prospective Investigation of Multiple Sclerosis in the Three Rivers Region, PROMOTE; Pittsburgh, PA) during 2017-2021 (Figure 1). [31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40][41][42] The cohort enrollment criteria included adults 18 years or older with a neurologist-confirmed diagnosis of MS according to the 2017 McDonald criteria. Given the clinical outcome of interest is relapse event indicative of inflammatory disease activity, we included pwMS of relapsing remitting (RRMS) and secondary progressive (SPMS) type and excluded primary progressive type (PPMS), which is not characterized by relapse events.…”
Section: Study Design Participants and Samplesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In this context, mobile applications (or mobile apps) have been used extensively to support CNSD patients with the regular monitoring or management of their disease [ 21 , 22 , 23 , 24 , 25 ], which is largely possible because of their sensing and communication capabilities and the fact that they are accessible, acceptable, and easily adopted [ 26 ]. In light of the COVID-19 pandemic, during which the enforcement of social isolation measures and consequent drastic behavioral changes were observed, the use of mobile apps to support patients with CNSDs, facilitate remote communication with the care team, and enable the tracking of disease progression, is both timely and necessary [ 27 , 28 , 29 ].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%